The Netherlands lead Group F at 53.5% implied probability due to their superior FIFA ranking (around 8th), deeper squad depth, and consistent recent results, including an unbeaten competitive run since late 2024 and strong UEFA qualifying performance. Japan sit second at 28.5% on the back of reliable AFC qualification, tactical discipline, and prior World Cup round-of-16 appearances that demonstrate their ability to compete with stronger sides. Sweden (15%) and Tunisia (4.2%) trail based on lower rankings (38th and 45th) and more limited recent form, with Sweden advancing via playoffs under new management and Tunisia relying on defensive organization from qualifying. The opening matches on June 14—Netherlands versus Japan and Sweden versus Tunisia—will provide the first live test of these dynamics ahead of the remaining group fixtures.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoPaíses Bajos 54%
Japón 29%
Suecia 15%
Túnez 4.2%
$420,890 Vol.
$420,890 Vol.
Países Bajos
54%
Japón
29%
Suecia
15%
Túnez
4%
Países Bajos 54%
Japón 29%
Suecia 15%
Túnez 4.2%
$420,890 Vol.
$420,890 Vol.
Países Bajos
54%
Japón
29%
Suecia
15%
Túnez
4%
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Dec 5, 2025, 7:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Netherlands lead Group F at 53.5% implied probability due to their superior FIFA ranking (around 8th), deeper squad depth, and consistent recent results, including an unbeaten competitive run since late 2024 and strong UEFA qualifying performance. Japan sit second at 28.5% on the back of reliable AFC qualification, tactical discipline, and prior World Cup round-of-16 appearances that demonstrate their ability to compete with stronger sides. Sweden (15%) and Tunisia (4.2%) trail based on lower rankings (38th and 45th) and more limited recent form, with Sweden advancing via playoffs under new management and Tunisia relying on defensive organization from qualifying. The opening matches on June 14—Netherlands versus Japan and Sweden versus Tunisia—will provide the first live test of these dynamics ahead of the remaining group fixtures.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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