France's Kylian Mbappé and England's Harry Kane lead the Golden Boot market at 15.5% and 13.5% implied probability because both enter with proven World Cup scoring records, elite club form heading into the expanded 48-team tournament, and teams projected to reach the knockout rounds for additional matches. Early goals from Folarin Balogun and Kai Havertz have lifted their respective odds in the short term, yet the market continues to discount underdogs whose nations face steeper paths beyond the group stage. Depth in attacking options for Spain, Germany, and Argentina, combined with the potential for multiple high-scoring fixtures, keeps the top probabilities tightly clustered as the group phase unfolds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoCopa del Mundo: Ganador de la Bota de Oro
Kylian Mbappe 16%
Harry Kane 14%
Kai Havertz 7.8%
Erling Haaland 8%
$9,062,661 Vol.
$9,062,661 Vol.
Kylian Mbappe
16%
Harry Kane
14%
Kai Havertz
8%
Erling Haaland
8%
Mikel Oyarzabal
8%
Lionel Messi
5%
Lamine Yamal
4%
Julian Alvarez
4%
Cristiano Ronaldo
4%
Folarin Balogun
4%
Michael Olise
4%
Vinicius Junior
4%
Ferran Torres
2%
Ousmane Dembele
2%
Cody Gakpo
2%
Lautaro Martinez
2%
Bruno Fernandes
1%
Romelu Lukaku
1%
Deniz Undav
1%
Luis Diaz
1%
Raphinha
1%
Igor Thiago
1%
Donyell Malen
1%
Rafael Leao
1%
Luis Javier Suárez
1%
Viktor Gyökeres
1%
Desire Doue
1%
Bukayo Saka
1%
Depay Memphis
1%
Jude Bellingham
<1%
Dani Olmo
<1%
Mohamed Salah
<1%
Pedri
<1%
Endrick
<1%
Florian Wirtz
<1%
Federico Valverde
<1%
Memphis Depay
<1%
Noah Okafor
<1%
Heung-Min Son
<1%
Sadio Mane
<1%
Antoine Semenyo
<1%
Scott McTominay
<1%
Rodrygo
<1%
Amad Diallo
<1%
Edin Džeko
<1%
Marcus Thuram
<1%
Ivan Perišić
<1%
Andrej Kramarić
<1%
Bradley Barcola
<1%
Serge Gnabry
<1%
Tim Payne
<1%
Dion Beljo
<1%
Kylian Mbappe 16%
Harry Kane 14%
Kai Havertz 7.8%
Erling Haaland 8%
$9,062,661 Vol.
$9,062,661 Vol.
Kylian Mbappe
16%
Harry Kane
14%
Kai Havertz
8%
Erling Haaland
8%
Mikel Oyarzabal
8%
Lionel Messi
5%
Lamine Yamal
4%
Julian Alvarez
4%
Cristiano Ronaldo
4%
Folarin Balogun
4%
Michael Olise
4%
Vinicius Junior
4%
Ferran Torres
2%
Ousmane Dembele
2%
Cody Gakpo
2%
Lautaro Martinez
2%
Bruno Fernandes
1%
Romelu Lukaku
1%
Deniz Undav
1%
Luis Diaz
1%
Raphinha
1%
Igor Thiago
1%
Donyell Malen
1%
Rafael Leao
1%
Luis Javier Suárez
1%
Viktor Gyökeres
1%
Desire Doue
1%
Bukayo Saka
1%
Depay Memphis
1%
Jude Bellingham
<1%
Dani Olmo
<1%
Mohamed Salah
<1%
Pedri
<1%
Endrick
<1%
Florian Wirtz
<1%
Federico Valverde
<1%
Memphis Depay
<1%
Noah Okafor
<1%
Heung-Min Son
<1%
Sadio Mane
<1%
Antoine Semenyo
<1%
Scott McTominay
<1%
Rodrygo
<1%
Amad Diallo
<1%
Edin Džeko
<1%
Marcus Thuram
<1%
Ivan Perišić
<1%
Andrej Kramarić
<1%
Bradley Barcola
<1%
Serge Gnabry
<1%
Tim Payne
<1%
Dion Beljo
<1%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no leader declared within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Apr 24, 2026, 1:07 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no leader declared within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...France's Kylian Mbappé and England's Harry Kane lead the Golden Boot market at 15.5% and 13.5% implied probability because both enter with proven World Cup scoring records, elite club form heading into the expanded 48-team tournament, and teams projected to reach the knockout rounds for additional matches. Early goals from Folarin Balogun and Kai Havertz have lifted their respective odds in the short term, yet the market continues to discount underdogs whose nations face steeper paths beyond the group stage. Depth in attacking options for Spain, Germany, and Argentina, combined with the potential for multiple high-scoring fixtures, keeps the top probabilities tightly clustered as the group phase unfolds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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