Skip to main content
icon for Copa del Mundo: Ganador de la Bota de Oro

Copa del Mundo: Ganador de la Bota de Oro

icon for Copa del Mundo: Ganador de la Bota de Oro

Copa del Mundo: Ganador de la Bota de Oro

Kylian Mbappe 16%

Harry Kane 14%

Kai Havertz 7.8%

Erling Haaland 8%

Polymarket

$9,062,661 Vol.

Kylian Mbappe 16%

Harry Kane 14%

Kai Havertz 7.8%

Erling Haaland 8%

Polymarket

$9,062,661 Vol.

Kylian Mbappe

$421,798 Vol.

16%

Harry Kane

$288,083 Vol.

14%

Kai Havertz

$97,999 Vol.

8%

Erling Haaland

$250,781 Vol.

8%

Mikel Oyarzabal

$169,245 Vol.

8%

Lionel Messi

$307,787 Vol.

5%

Lamine Yamal

$237,206 Vol.

4%

Julian Alvarez

$192,840 Vol.

4%

Cristiano Ronaldo

$233,012 Vol.

4%

Folarin Balogun

$26,407 Vol.

4%

Michael Olise

$298,076 Vol.

4%

Vinicius Junior

$168,247 Vol.

4%

Ferran Torres

$266,109 Vol.

2%

Ousmane Dembele

$165,875 Vol.

2%

Cody Gakpo

$83,623 Vol.

2%

Lautaro Martinez

$157,502 Vol.

2%

Bruno Fernandes

$186,796 Vol.

1%

Romelu Lukaku

$13,402 Vol.

1%

Deniz Undav

$197,912 Vol.

1%

Luis Diaz

$188,976 Vol.

1%

Raphinha

$110,255 Vol.

1%

Igor Thiago

$141,172 Vol.

1%

Donyell Malen

$26,426 Vol.

1%

Rafael Leao

$713,965 Vol.

1%

Luis Javier Suárez

$156,958 Vol.

1%

Viktor Gyökeres

$104,726 Vol.

1%

Desire Doue

$133,452 Vol.

1%

Bukayo Saka

$105,538 Vol.

1%

Depay Memphis

$54,507 Vol.

1%

Jude Bellingham

$105,342 Vol.

<1%

Dani Olmo

$185,620 Vol.

<1%

Mohamed Salah

$119,366 Vol.

<1%

Pedri

$146,212 Vol.

<1%

Endrick

$39,535 Vol.

<1%

Florian Wirtz

$71,173 Vol.

<1%

Federico Valverde

$915,242 Vol.

<1%

Memphis Depay

$103,687 Vol.

<1%

Noah Okafor

$198,181 Vol.

<1%

Heung-Min Son

$52,486 Vol.

<1%

Sadio Mane

$68,219 Vol.

<1%

Antoine Semenyo

$205,483 Vol.

<1%

Scott McTominay

$144,313 Vol.

<1%

Rodrygo

$200,155 Vol.

<1%

Amad Diallo

$180,929 Vol.

<1%

Edin Džeko

$140,791 Vol.

<1%

Marcus Thuram

$117,382 Vol.

<1%

Ivan Perišić

$118,725 Vol.

<1%

Andrej Kramarić

$96,076 Vol.

<1%

Bradley Barcola

$74,665 Vol.

<1%

Serge Gnabry

$173,061 Vol.

<1%

Tim Payne

$3,198 Vol.

<1%

Dion Beljo

$114,188 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no leader declared within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.France's Kylian Mbappé and England's Harry Kane lead the Golden Boot market at 15.5% and 13.5% implied probability because both enter with proven World Cup scoring records, elite club form heading into the expanded 48-team tournament, and teams projected to reach the knockout rounds for additional matches. Early goals from Folarin Balogun and Kai Havertz have lifted their respective odds in the short term, yet the market continues to discount underdogs whose nations face steeper paths beyond the group stage. Depth in attacking options for Spain, Germany, and Argentina, combined with the potential for multiple high-scoring fixtures, keeps the top probabilities tightly clustered as the group phase unfolds.

This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no leader declared within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$9,062,661
Fecha de finalización
20 jul 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 24, 2026, 1:07 PM ET
This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no leader declared within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no leader declared within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.France's Kylian Mbappé and England's Harry Kane lead the Golden Boot market at 15.5% and 13.5% implied probability because both enter with proven World Cup scoring records, elite club form heading into the expanded 48-team tournament, and teams projected to reach the knockout rounds for additional matches. Early goals from Folarin Balogun and Kai Havertz have lifted their respective odds in the short term, yet the market continues to discount underdogs whose nations face steeper paths beyond the group stage. Depth in attacking options for Spain, Germany, and Argentina, combined with the potential for multiple high-scoring fixtures, keeps the top probabilities tightly clustered as the group phase unfolds.

This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no leader declared within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$9,062,661
Fecha de finalización
20 jul 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 24, 2026, 1:07 PM ET
This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no leader declared within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Copa del Mundo: Ganador de la Bota de Oro" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 52+ resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Kylian Mbappe" con 16%, seguido de "Harry Kane" con 14%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 16¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 16% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Copa del Mundo: Ganador de la Bota de Oro" ha generado $9.1 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Apr 24, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Copa del Mundo: Ganador de la Bota de Oro", explora los 52+ resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Copa del Mundo: Ganador de la Bota de Oro" es "Kylian Mbappe" con 16%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 16% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Harry Kane" con 14%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Copa del Mundo: Ganador de la Bota de Oro" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.