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Copa del Mundo: Ganador de la Bota de Oro

icon for Copa del Mundo: Ganador de la Bota de Oro

Copa del Mundo: Ganador de la Bota de Oro

Kylian Mbappe 16%

Harry Kane 15%

Erling Haaland 9%

Mikel Oyarzabal 9%

Polymarket

$7,173,840 Vol.

Kylian Mbappe 16%

Harry Kane 15%

Erling Haaland 9%

Mikel Oyarzabal 9%

Polymarket

$7,173,840 Vol.

Kylian Mbappe

$401,076 Vol.

16%

Harry Kane

$263,574 Vol.

15%

Erling Haaland

$233,010 Vol.

9%

Mikel Oyarzabal

$134,797 Vol.

9%

Lionel Messi

$279,682 Vol.

5%

Lamine Yamal

$223,574 Vol.

5%

Kai Havertz

$9,530 Vol.

4%

Cristiano Ronaldo

$213,924 Vol.

4%

Julian Alvarez

$164,321 Vol.

4%

Vinicius Junior

$149,974 Vol.

4%

Folarin Balogun

$18,299 Vol.

4%

Michael Olise

$290,316 Vol.

4%

Raphinha

$104,072 Vol.

3%

Ferran Torres

$252,202 Vol.

2%

Ousmane Dembele

$158,084 Vol.

2%

Cody Gakpo

$67,711 Vol.

2%

Lautaro Martinez

$144,676 Vol.

2%

Bruno Fernandes

$180,830 Vol.

1%

Luis Diaz

$171,600 Vol.

1%

Romelu Lukaku

$7,525 Vol.

1%

Deniz Undav

$173,191 Vol.

1%

Igor Thiago

$137,267 Vol.

1%

Florian Wirtz

$11,245 Vol.

1%

Viktor Gyökeres

$93,292 Vol.

1%

Luis Javier Suárez

$124,021 Vol.

1%

Endrick

$33,487 Vol.

1%

Desire Doue

$127,042 Vol.

1%

Depay Memphis

$46,143 Vol.

1%

Donyell Malen

$8,120 Vol.

1%

Dani Olmo

$179,982 Vol.

<1%

Bukayo Saka

$94,583 Vol.

<1%

Pedri

$141,753 Vol.

<1%

Memphis Depay

$6,260 Vol.

<1%

Jude Bellingham

$95,401 Vol.

<1%

Scott McTominay

$136,636 Vol.

<1%

Mohamed Salah

$113,662 Vol.

<1%

Sadio Mane

$64,754 Vol.

<1%

Rafael Leao

$261,372 Vol.

<1%

Noah Okafor

$189,010 Vol.

<1%

Heung-Min Son

$49,480 Vol.

<1%

Marcus Thuram

$107,313 Vol.

<1%

Federico Valverde

$458,462 Vol.

<1%

Rodrygo

$193,570 Vol.

<1%

Amad Diallo

$139,621 Vol.

<1%

Edin Džeko

$139,216 Vol.

<1%

Ivan Perišić

$106,304 Vol.

<1%

Andrej Kramarić

$91,443 Vol.

<1%

Bradley Barcola

$71,001 Vol.

<1%

Antoine Semenyo

$113,061 Vol.

<1%

Serge Gnabry

$167,061 Vol.

<1%

Tim Payne

$198 Vol.

<1%

Dion Beljo

$113,188 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no leader declared within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kylian Mbappé and Harry Kane lead the Golden Boot market at 15.5% and 14.5% implied probability because both enter the expanded 2026 tournament with prior Golden Boot wins, elite recent club output—Kane’s 60-plus goals across competitions for Bayern Munich and Mbappé’s consistent threat for France—and favorable group-stage paths. Erling Haaland sits at 8.5% after prolific European qualifying, while Mikel Oyarzabal matches that price on Spain’s attacking depth. Early goals from players like Folarin Balogun have already nudged fringe contenders, but the tight clustering among the top tier reflects broad trader consensus on multiple proven finishers from high-possession sides capable of deep runs, with no single standout edge yet emerging in the opening matches.

This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no leader declared within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$7,173,840
Fecha de finalización
20 jul 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 24, 2026, 1:07 PM ET
This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no leader declared within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no leader declared within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kylian Mbappé and Harry Kane lead the Golden Boot market at 15.5% and 14.5% implied probability because both enter the expanded 2026 tournament with prior Golden Boot wins, elite recent club output—Kane’s 60-plus goals across competitions for Bayern Munich and Mbappé’s consistent threat for France—and favorable group-stage paths. Erling Haaland sits at 8.5% after prolific European qualifying, while Mikel Oyarzabal matches that price on Spain’s attacking depth. Early goals from players like Folarin Balogun have already nudged fringe contenders, but the tight clustering among the top tier reflects broad trader consensus on multiple proven finishers from high-possession sides capable of deep runs, with no single standout edge yet emerging in the opening matches.

This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no leader declared within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$7,173,840
Fecha de finalización
20 jul 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 24, 2026, 1:07 PM ET
This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no leader declared within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Copa del Mundo: Ganador de la Bota de Oro" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 52+ resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Kylian Mbappe" con 16%, seguido de "Harry Kane" con 14%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 16¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 16% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Copa del Mundo: Ganador de la Bota de Oro" ha generado $7.2 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Apr 24, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Copa del Mundo: Ganador de la Bota de Oro", explora los 52+ resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Copa del Mundo: Ganador de la Bota de Oro" es "Kylian Mbappe" con 16%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 16% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Harry Kane" con 14%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Copa del Mundo: Ganador de la Bota de Oro" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.