Kylian Mbappé and Harry Kane lead the Golden Boot market at 15.5% and 14.5% implied probability because both enter the expanded 2026 tournament with prior Golden Boot wins, elite recent club output—Kane’s 60-plus goals across competitions for Bayern Munich and Mbappé’s consistent threat for France—and favorable group-stage paths. Erling Haaland sits at 8.5% after prolific European qualifying, while Mikel Oyarzabal matches that price on Spain’s attacking depth. Early goals from players like Folarin Balogun have already nudged fringe contenders, but the tight clustering among the top tier reflects broad trader consensus on multiple proven finishers from high-possession sides capable of deep runs, with no single standout edge yet emerging in the opening matches.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoCopa del Mundo: Ganador de la Bota de Oro
Kylian Mbappe 16%
Harry Kane 15%
Erling Haaland 9%
Mikel Oyarzabal 9%
$7,173,840 Vol.
$7,173,840 Vol.
Kylian Mbappe
16%
Harry Kane
15%
Erling Haaland
9%
Mikel Oyarzabal
9%
Lionel Messi
5%
Lamine Yamal
5%
Kai Havertz
4%
Cristiano Ronaldo
4%
Julian Alvarez
4%
Vinicius Junior
4%
Folarin Balogun
4%
Michael Olise
4%
Raphinha
3%
Ferran Torres
2%
Ousmane Dembele
2%
Cody Gakpo
2%
Lautaro Martinez
2%
Bruno Fernandes
1%
Luis Diaz
1%
Romelu Lukaku
1%
Deniz Undav
1%
Igor Thiago
1%
Florian Wirtz
1%
Viktor Gyökeres
1%
Luis Javier Suárez
1%
Endrick
1%
Desire Doue
1%
Depay Memphis
1%
Donyell Malen
1%
Dani Olmo
<1%
Bukayo Saka
<1%
Pedri
<1%
Memphis Depay
<1%
Jude Bellingham
<1%
Scott McTominay
<1%
Mohamed Salah
<1%
Sadio Mane
<1%
Rafael Leao
<1%
Noah Okafor
<1%
Heung-Min Son
<1%
Marcus Thuram
<1%
Federico Valverde
<1%
Rodrygo
<1%
Amad Diallo
<1%
Edin Džeko
<1%
Ivan Perišić
<1%
Andrej Kramarić
<1%
Bradley Barcola
<1%
Antoine Semenyo
<1%
Serge Gnabry
<1%
Tim Payne
<1%
Dion Beljo
<1%
Kylian Mbappe 16%
Harry Kane 15%
Erling Haaland 9%
Mikel Oyarzabal 9%
$7,173,840 Vol.
$7,173,840 Vol.
Kylian Mbappe
16%
Harry Kane
15%
Erling Haaland
9%
Mikel Oyarzabal
9%
Lionel Messi
5%
Lamine Yamal
5%
Kai Havertz
4%
Cristiano Ronaldo
4%
Julian Alvarez
4%
Vinicius Junior
4%
Folarin Balogun
4%
Michael Olise
4%
Raphinha
3%
Ferran Torres
2%
Ousmane Dembele
2%
Cody Gakpo
2%
Lautaro Martinez
2%
Bruno Fernandes
1%
Luis Diaz
1%
Romelu Lukaku
1%
Deniz Undav
1%
Igor Thiago
1%
Florian Wirtz
1%
Viktor Gyökeres
1%
Luis Javier Suárez
1%
Endrick
1%
Desire Doue
1%
Depay Memphis
1%
Donyell Malen
1%
Dani Olmo
<1%
Bukayo Saka
<1%
Pedri
<1%
Memphis Depay
<1%
Jude Bellingham
<1%
Scott McTominay
<1%
Mohamed Salah
<1%
Sadio Mane
<1%
Rafael Leao
<1%
Noah Okafor
<1%
Heung-Min Son
<1%
Marcus Thuram
<1%
Federico Valverde
<1%
Rodrygo
<1%
Amad Diallo
<1%
Edin Džeko
<1%
Ivan Perišić
<1%
Andrej Kramarić
<1%
Bradley Barcola
<1%
Antoine Semenyo
<1%
Serge Gnabry
<1%
Tim Payne
<1%
Dion Beljo
<1%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no leader declared within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Apr 24, 2026, 1:07 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no leader declared within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Kylian Mbappé and Harry Kane lead the Golden Boot market at 15.5% and 14.5% implied probability because both enter the expanded 2026 tournament with prior Golden Boot wins, elite recent club output—Kane’s 60-plus goals across competitions for Bayern Munich and Mbappé’s consistent threat for France—and favorable group-stage paths. Erling Haaland sits at 8.5% after prolific European qualifying, while Mikel Oyarzabal matches that price on Spain’s attacking depth. Early goals from players like Folarin Balogun have already nudged fringe contenders, but the tight clustering among the top tier reflects broad trader consensus on multiple proven finishers from high-possession sides capable of deep runs, with no single standout edge yet emerging in the opening matches.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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