Belgium enters the 2026 World Cup in a transitional phase, blending aging stars such as Kevin De Bruyne, Romelu Lukaku, and Thibaut Courtois with younger options under coach Rudi Garcia. Lukaku’s limited minutes and reported lack of match fitness, alongside several high-profile exclusions from the final squad, have raised questions about attacking depth and overall cohesion. The group stage draw offers a realistic chance to advance, yet Belgium’s recent qualifying inconsistencies and shift from its prior golden generation create uncertainty about knockout progression. With implied probabilities tightly clustered across possible elimination stages, trader positioning mirrors the balanced risks between early exits and deeper runs.