**Tiger Woods has not competed in an official PGA Tour event since the 2024 Open Championship, hampered by repeated back surgeries (including disc replacement in October 2025) and prior Achilles issues that limited him severely in 2025.** As of mid-June 2026, he remains sidelined with no entries submitted for any remaining PGA Tour or major events, following a return from extended treatment in Switzerland and amid ongoing recovery and personal matters. While he made a limited TGL appearance in March 2026—his first competitive golf in nearly two years—and has expressed determination to resume playing (potentially on the PGA Tour Champions after turning 50), progress has been gradual, with statements indicating he is still “a ways away” from committing to a schedule. These factors, combined with his history of lengthy absences and the advanced point in the 2026 season, underpin trader consensus reflected in the 57% implied probability for “No.” Sports outcomes remain uncertain, and any confirmed return or major health update could shift sentiment.