Vice President JD Vance's dominant position in recent 2028 Republican primary polls, capturing 43% in the Yale Youth Poll and 53% in the CPAC straw poll alongside strong showings in Echelon Insights and UNH surveys, drives trader consensus toward an 85.5% implied probability that the GOP nominee will be male. No female candidates rank in the top tier across these April 2026 polls, continuing the party's historical pattern without a woman securing the presidential nomination and building on Nikki Haley's early 2024 primary withdrawal. While 2026 midterm results could boost governors like Sarah Huckabee Sanders, the distant primary timeline and Vance's frontrunner status maintain low odds for a shift.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Será mujer la candidata presidencial republicana de 2028?
¿Será mujer la candidata presidencial republicana de 2028?
Sí
NUEVO
NUEVO
7 nov 2028
Sí
NUEVO
NUEVO
7 nov 2028
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the individual that wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.
Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Vice President JD Vance's dominant position in recent 2028 Republican primary polls, capturing 43% in the Yale Youth Poll and 53% in the CPAC straw poll alongside strong showings in Echelon Insights and UNH surveys, drives trader consensus toward an 85.5% implied probability that the GOP nominee will be male. No female candidates rank in the top tier across these April 2026 polls, continuing the party's historical pattern without a woman securing the presidential nomination and building on Nikki Haley's early 2024 primary withdrawal. While 2026 midterm results could boost governors like Sarah Huckabee Sanders, the distant primary timeline and Vance's frontrunner status maintain low odds for a shift.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the individual that wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.
Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.
Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Mercado abierto: Feb 17, 2026, 5:42 PM ET
Volumen
$1,171Fecha de finalización
7 nov 2028Mercado abierto
Feb 17, 2026, 5:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the individual that wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.
Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Vice President JD Vance's dominant position in recent 2028 Republican primary polls, capturing 43% in the Yale Youth Poll and 53% in the CPAC straw poll alongside strong showings in Echelon Insights and UNH surveys, drives trader consensus toward an 85.5% implied probability that the GOP nominee will be male. No female candidates rank in the top tier across these April 2026 polls, continuing the party's historical pattern without a woman securing the presidential nomination and building on Nikki Haley's early 2024 primary withdrawal. While 2026 midterm results could boost governors like Sarah Huckabee Sanders, the distant primary timeline and Vance's frontrunner status maintain low odds for a shift.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the individual that wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.
Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.
Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$1,171Fecha de finalización
7 nov 2028Mercado abierto
Feb 17, 2026, 5:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Vice President JD Vance's dominant position in recent 2028 Republican primary polls, capturing 43% in the Yale Youth Poll and 53% in the CPAC straw poll alongside strong showings in Echelon Insights and UNH surveys, drives trader consensus toward an 85.5% implied probability that the GOP nominee will be male. No female candidates rank in the top tier across these April 2026 polls, continuing the party's historical pattern without a woman securing the presidential nomination and building on Nikki Haley's early 2024 primary withdrawal. While 2026 midterm results could boost governors like Sarah Huckabee Sanders, the distant primary timeline and Vance's frontrunner status maintain low odds for a shift.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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