Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a male nominee at 72.5% implied probability for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, led by California Governor Gavin Newsom at 27% odds, with Pete Buttigieg and Josh Shapiro also prominent among top male contenders. Recent McLaughlin & Associates polling from April 8-15 showed former Vice President Kamala Harris leading at 29%—her strongest showing yet—but markets assign her just 8% after a recent surge, reflecting persistent doubts over her 2024 general election loss and electability amid calls for a post-defeat reset. Other women like Gretchen Whitmer and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez trail at 4-8%, underscoring trader emphasis on governors from swing states and moderates ahead of 2026 midterms that could reshape the primary field.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Será mujer la candidata presidencial demócrata de 2028?
¿Será mujer la candidata presidencial demócrata de 2028?
Sí
NUEVO
NUEVO
7 nov 2028
Sí
NUEVO
NUEVO
7 nov 2028
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the individual that wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a male nominee at 72.5% implied probability for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, led by California Governor Gavin Newsom at 27% odds, with Pete Buttigieg and Josh Shapiro also prominent among top male contenders. Recent McLaughlin & Associates polling from April 8-15 showed former Vice President Kamala Harris leading at 29%—her strongest showing yet—but markets assign her just 8% after a recent surge, reflecting persistent doubts over her 2024 general election loss and electability amid calls for a post-defeat reset. Other women like Gretchen Whitmer and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez trail at 4-8%, underscoring trader emphasis on governors from swing states and moderates ahead of 2026 midterms that could reshape the primary field.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the individual that wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Mercado abierto: Feb 17, 2026, 5:42 PM ET
Volumen
$758Fecha de finalización
7 nov 2028Mercado abierto
Feb 17, 2026, 5:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the individual that wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a male nominee at 72.5% implied probability for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, led by California Governor Gavin Newsom at 27% odds, with Pete Buttigieg and Josh Shapiro also prominent among top male contenders. Recent McLaughlin & Associates polling from April 8-15 showed former Vice President Kamala Harris leading at 29%—her strongest showing yet—but markets assign her just 8% after a recent surge, reflecting persistent doubts over her 2024 general election loss and electability amid calls for a post-defeat reset. Other women like Gretchen Whitmer and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez trail at 4-8%, underscoring trader emphasis on governors from swing states and moderates ahead of 2026 midterms that could reshape the primary field.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the individual that wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$758Fecha de finalización
7 nov 2028Mercado abierto
Feb 17, 2026, 5:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a male nominee at 72.5% implied probability for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, led by California Governor Gavin Newsom at 27% odds, with Pete Buttigieg and Josh Shapiro also prominent among top male contenders. Recent McLaughlin & Associates polling from April 8-15 showed former Vice President Kamala Harris leading at 29%—her strongest showing yet—but markets assign her just 8% after a recent surge, reflecting persistent doubts over her 2024 general election loss and electability amid calls for a post-defeat reset. Other women like Gretchen Whitmer and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez trail at 4-8%, underscoring trader emphasis on governors from swing states and moderates ahead of 2026 midterms that could reshape the primary field.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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