Trader consensus prices "Yes" at 89.5% for the Green Party securing at least one mayorship in the May 7, 2026, local elections across qualifying contests in Croydon, Hackney, Lewisham, Newham, Tower Hamlets, or Watford, reflecting the party's surging momentum amid Labour's unpopularity. A YouGov MRP poll on April 22 projected major Green gains in London boroughs, with the party potentially topping the vote in Hackney where candidate Zoë Garbett challenges Labour closely per recent local surveys showing tied support around 36%. This builds on the Greens' February Gorton and Denton parliamentary by-election victory and April 9 campaign launch focusing on housing and rent controls. While frontrunners in Hackney and competitive elsewhere, a late Labour rebound or turnout shifts could still sway outcomes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoWill Green Party win a mayorship in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?
Will Green Party win a mayorship in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?
$50,338 Vol.
$50,338 Vol.
$50,338 Vol.
$50,338 Vol.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a Green Party candidate wins a mayorship as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of the Green Party if they are officially nominated by the Green Party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with the Green Party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
Only the following mayoral elections scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026, will qualify for this market: Croydon, Hackney, Lewisham, Newham, Tower Hamlets, and/or Watford.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. If the results of any of the relevant elections aren’t known by April 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the respective council government.
Mercado abierto: Apr 14, 2026, 5:54 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if a Green Party candidate wins a mayorship as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of the Green Party if they are officially nominated by the Green Party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with the Green Party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
Only the following mayoral elections scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026, will qualify for this market: Croydon, Hackney, Lewisham, Newham, Tower Hamlets, and/or Watford.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. If the results of any of the relevant elections aren’t known by April 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the respective council government.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "Yes" at 89.5% for the Green Party securing at least one mayorship in the May 7, 2026, local elections across qualifying contests in Croydon, Hackney, Lewisham, Newham, Tower Hamlets, or Watford, reflecting the party's surging momentum amid Labour's unpopularity. A YouGov MRP poll on April 22 projected major Green gains in London boroughs, with the party potentially topping the vote in Hackney where candidate Zoë Garbett challenges Labour closely per recent local surveys showing tied support around 36%. This builds on the Greens' February Gorton and Denton parliamentary by-election victory and April 9 campaign launch focusing on housing and rent controls. While frontrunners in Hackney and competitive elsewhere, a late Labour rebound or turnout shifts could still sway outcomes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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