Trader consensus prices "Yes" at 91.5% reflecting the Green Party's surging momentum in London borough mayoral races ahead of the May 7, 2026, local elections, fueled by a landmark parliamentary by-election victory in Gorton and Denton in late February that eroded Labour support among progressive voters disillusioned with national housing policy. Recent YouGov MRP polling from April 22 projects major Green gains across London councils, positioning candidates like Zoë Garbett in Hackney and Liam Shrivastava in Lewisham—qualifying contests per market rules—as frontrunners amid Labour vulnerabilities on affordable housing and cost-of-living issues. Party leader Zack Polanski's April 9 campaign launch emphasized these priorities, while projections of hundreds of new council seats amplify expectations of at least one mayoral win, though high turnout or late scandals could still shift outcomes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoWill Green Party win a mayorship in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?
Will Green Party win a mayorship in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?
$50,522 Vol.
$50,522 Vol.
7 may 2026
$50,522 Vol.
$50,522 Vol.
7 may 2026
United Kingdom local elections are currently scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a Green Party candidate wins a mayorship as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of the Green Party if they are officially nominated by the Green Party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with the Green Party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
Only the following mayoral elections scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026, will qualify for this market: Croydon, Hackney, Lewisham, Newham, Tower Hamlets, and/or Watford.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. If the results of any of the relevant elections aren’t known by April 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the respective council government.Trader consensus prices "Yes" at 91.5% reflecting the Green Party's surging momentum in London borough mayoral races ahead of the May 7, 2026, local elections, fueled by a landmark parliamentary by-election victory in Gorton and Denton in late February that eroded Labour support among progressive voters disillusioned with national housing policy. Recent YouGov MRP polling from April 22 projects major Green gains across London councils, positioning candidates like Zoë Garbett in Hackney and Liam Shrivastava in Lewisham—qualifying contests per market rules—as frontrunners amid Labour vulnerabilities on affordable housing and cost-of-living issues. Party leader Zack Polanski's April 9 campaign launch emphasized these priorities, while projections of hundreds of new council seats amplify expectations of at least one mayoral win, though high turnout or late scandals could still shift outcomes.
United Kingdom local elections are currently scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a Green Party candidate wins a mayorship as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of the Green Party if they are officially nominated by the Green Party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with the Green Party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
Only the following mayoral elections scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026, will qualify for this market: Croydon, Hackney, Lewisham, Newham, Tower Hamlets, and/or Watford.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. If the results of any of the relevant elections aren’t known by April 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the respective council government.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a Green Party candidate wins a mayorship as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of the Green Party if they are officially nominated by the Green Party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with the Green Party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
Only the following mayoral elections scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026, will qualify for this market: Croydon, Hackney, Lewisham, Newham, Tower Hamlets, and/or Watford.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. If the results of any of the relevant elections aren’t known by April 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the respective council government.
Mercado abierto: Apr 14, 2026, 5:54 PM ET
Volumen
$50,522Fecha de finalización
7 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 14, 2026, 5:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...United Kingdom local elections are currently scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a Green Party candidate wins a mayorship as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of the Green Party if they are officially nominated by the Green Party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with the Green Party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
Only the following mayoral elections scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026, will qualify for this market: Croydon, Hackney, Lewisham, Newham, Tower Hamlets, and/or Watford.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. If the results of any of the relevant elections aren’t known by April 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the respective council government.Trader consensus prices "Yes" at 91.5% reflecting the Green Party's surging momentum in London borough mayoral races ahead of the May 7, 2026, local elections, fueled by a landmark parliamentary by-election victory in Gorton and Denton in late February that eroded Labour support among progressive voters disillusioned with national housing policy. Recent YouGov MRP polling from April 22 projects major Green gains across London councils, positioning candidates like Zoë Garbett in Hackney and Liam Shrivastava in Lewisham—qualifying contests per market rules—as frontrunners amid Labour vulnerabilities on affordable housing and cost-of-living issues. Party leader Zack Polanski's April 9 campaign launch emphasized these priorities, while projections of hundreds of new council seats amplify expectations of at least one mayoral win, though high turnout or late scandals could still shift outcomes.
United Kingdom local elections are currently scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a Green Party candidate wins a mayorship as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of the Green Party if they are officially nominated by the Green Party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with the Green Party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
Only the following mayoral elections scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026, will qualify for this market: Croydon, Hackney, Lewisham, Newham, Tower Hamlets, and/or Watford.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. If the results of any of the relevant elections aren’t known by April 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the respective council government.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a Green Party candidate wins a mayorship as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of the Green Party if they are officially nominated by the Green Party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with the Green Party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
Only the following mayoral elections scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026, will qualify for this market: Croydon, Hackney, Lewisham, Newham, Tower Hamlets, and/or Watford.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. If the results of any of the relevant elections aren’t known by April 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the respective council government.
Volumen
$50,522Fecha de finalización
7 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 14, 2026, 5:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "Yes" at 91.5% reflecting the Green Party's surging momentum in London borough mayoral races ahead of the May 7, 2026, local elections, fueled by a landmark parliamentary by-election victory in Gorton and Denton in late February that eroded Labour support among progressive voters disillusioned with national housing policy. Recent YouGov MRP polling from April 22 projects major Green gains across London councils, positioning candidates like Zoë Garbett in Hackney and Liam Shrivastava in Lewisham—qualifying contests per market rules—as frontrunners amid Labour vulnerabilities on affordable housing and cost-of-living issues. Party leader Zack Polanski's April 9 campaign launch emphasized these priorities, while projections of hundreds of new council seats amplify expectations of at least one mayoral win, though high turnout or late scandals could still shift outcomes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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