**No team reaching three or more penalty shootouts in the 2026 FIFA World Cup knockout phase carries an 81.5% implied probability on Polymarket because the required sequence remains historically rare.** The expanded 48-team format introduces a round of 32, yet each side must still navigate up to six knockout ties. Matches reach extra time only when level after 90 minutes and then penalties in roughly one-quarter of those cases, per past tournaments. A single squad would therefore need three separate extra-time stalemates resolved on spot kicks across the round of 32 through the final—an occurrence no nation has achieved in prior World Cups. Early group-stage results and typical match dynamics reinforce trader consensus that sustained penalty success for one team is improbable before the knockout rounds even begin on June 28.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Participará algún equipo en más de 3 tandas de penaltis en la fase eliminatoria?
¿Participará algún equipo en más de 3 tandas de penaltis en la fase eliminatoria?
NUEVO
NUEVO
20 jul 2026
NUEVO
NUEVO
20 jul 2026
This market will resolve “Yes” if any single team participates in three or more penalty shootouts across the knockout phase of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purpose of this market, the knockout phase consists of any game played after the group stage (Round of 32 onward, inclusive of the 3rd-place game). A penalty shootout is counted for both teams that participate in it. The three shootouts must be reached by the same team.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether any team participated in three or more shootouts within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**No team reaching three or more penalty shootouts in the 2026 FIFA World Cup knockout phase carries an 81.5% implied probability on Polymarket because the required sequence remains historically rare.** The expanded 48-team format introduces a round of 32, yet each side must still navigate up to six knockout ties. Matches reach extra time only when level after 90 minutes and then penalties in roughly one-quarter of those cases, per past tournaments. A single squad would therefore need three separate extra-time stalemates resolved on spot kicks across the round of 32 through the final—an occurrence no nation has achieved in prior World Cups. Early group-stage results and typical match dynamics reinforce trader consensus that sustained penalty success for one team is improbable before the knockout rounds even begin on June 28.
This market will resolve “Yes” if any single team participates in three or more penalty shootouts across the knockout phase of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purpose of this market, the knockout phase consists of any game played after the group stage (Round of 32 onward, inclusive of the 3rd-place game). A penalty shootout is counted for both teams that participate in it. The three shootouts must be reached by the same team.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether any team participated in three or more shootouts within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For the purpose of this market, the knockout phase consists of any game played after the group stage (Round of 32 onward, inclusive of the 3rd-place game). A penalty shootout is counted for both teams that participate in it. The three shootouts must be reached by the same team.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether any team participated in three or more shootouts within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Jun 9, 2026, 6:10 PM ET
Volumen
$2,409Fecha de finalización
20 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 9, 2026, 6:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve “Yes” if any single team participates in three or more penalty shootouts across the knockout phase of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purpose of this market, the knockout phase consists of any game played after the group stage (Round of 32 onward, inclusive of the 3rd-place game). A penalty shootout is counted for both teams that participate in it. The three shootouts must be reached by the same team.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether any team participated in three or more shootouts within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**No team reaching three or more penalty shootouts in the 2026 FIFA World Cup knockout phase carries an 81.5% implied probability on Polymarket because the required sequence remains historically rare.** The expanded 48-team format introduces a round of 32, yet each side must still navigate up to six knockout ties. Matches reach extra time only when level after 90 minutes and then penalties in roughly one-quarter of those cases, per past tournaments. A single squad would therefore need three separate extra-time stalemates resolved on spot kicks across the round of 32 through the final—an occurrence no nation has achieved in prior World Cups. Early group-stage results and typical match dynamics reinforce trader consensus that sustained penalty success for one team is improbable before the knockout rounds even begin on June 28.
This market will resolve “Yes” if any single team participates in three or more penalty shootouts across the knockout phase of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purpose of this market, the knockout phase consists of any game played after the group stage (Round of 32 onward, inclusive of the 3rd-place game). A penalty shootout is counted for both teams that participate in it. The three shootouts must be reached by the same team.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether any team participated in three or more shootouts within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For the purpose of this market, the knockout phase consists of any game played after the group stage (Round of 32 onward, inclusive of the 3rd-place game). A penalty shootout is counted for both teams that participate in it. The three shootouts must be reached by the same team.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether any team participated in three or more shootouts within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$2,409Fecha de finalización
20 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 9, 2026, 6:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**No team reaching three or more penalty shootouts in the 2026 FIFA World Cup knockout phase carries an 81.5% implied probability on Polymarket because the required sequence remains historically rare.** The expanded 48-team format introduces a round of 32, yet each side must still navigate up to six knockout ties. Matches reach extra time only when level after 90 minutes and then penalties in roughly one-quarter of those cases, per past tournaments. A single squad would therefore need three separate extra-time stalemates resolved on spot kicks across the round of 32 through the final—an occurrence no nation has achieved in prior World Cups. Early group-stage results and typical match dynamics reinforce trader consensus that sustained penalty success for one team is improbable before the knockout rounds even begin on June 28.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes