Carlos Alcaraz's confirmed withdrawal from the 2026 French Open due to injury has locked in trader consensus at 99.5% for "None" completing a Calendar Grand Slam, as his Australian Open triumph—his first on Melbourne's hard courts and career Grand Slam completion at age 22—required follow-up victories at Roland Garros, Wimbledon, and the US Open across clay, grass, and hardcourt surfaces. The feat remains unachieved in the Open Era since Rod Laver's 1969 sweep, demanding unprecedented dominance amid ATP rivalries from Jannik Sinner, Novak Djokovic, and others, plus injury and fatigue risks over seven months. No other player holds the AO title, making alternatives impossible; Alcaraz's slim 0.1% reflects negligible reversal odds, with upsets or recoveries as only theoretical shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$275,066 Vol.
$275,066 Vol.
Ninguno
100%
Carlos Alcaraz
<1%
$275,066 Vol.
$275,066 Vol.
Ninguno
100%
Carlos Alcaraz
<1%
This market resolves to the single male player who wins the Men’s Singles titles at all four Grand Slam tournaments in 2026. The relevant 2026 Grand Slams are the Men’s Singles tournaments in the 2026 Australian Open, French Open, U.S. Open, and Wimbledon.
For the purpose of this market, a tournament victory is valid regardless of whether the final was won via a walkover, a mid-match retirement, or a standard completed match.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to achieve a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026 (e.g. Alcaraz does not win the 2026 Australian Open) this market will resolve immediately to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for anyone to achieve a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026 this market will resolve immediately to "None".
Otherwise, this market will resolve when the results of the final 2026 Grand Slam are official.
If any of the 2026 Grand Slam Men’s Singles Tournaments are cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “None”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the organizers of the Grand Slam tournaments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Jan 6, 2026, 2:43 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market resolves to the single male player who wins the Men’s Singles titles at all four Grand Slam tournaments in 2026. The relevant 2026 Grand Slams are the Men’s Singles tournaments in the 2026 Australian Open, French Open, U.S. Open, and Wimbledon.
For the purpose of this market, a tournament victory is valid regardless of whether the final was won via a walkover, a mid-match retirement, or a standard completed match.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to achieve a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026 (e.g. Alcaraz does not win the 2026 Australian Open) this market will resolve immediately to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for anyone to achieve a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026 this market will resolve immediately to "None".
Otherwise, this market will resolve when the results of the final 2026 Grand Slam are official.
If any of the 2026 Grand Slam Men’s Singles Tournaments are cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “None”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the organizers of the Grand Slam tournaments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Carlos Alcaraz's confirmed withdrawal from the 2026 French Open due to injury has locked in trader consensus at 99.5% for "None" completing a Calendar Grand Slam, as his Australian Open triumph—his first on Melbourne's hard courts and career Grand Slam completion at age 22—required follow-up victories at Roland Garros, Wimbledon, and the US Open across clay, grass, and hardcourt surfaces. The feat remains unachieved in the Open Era since Rod Laver's 1969 sweep, demanding unprecedented dominance amid ATP rivalries from Jannik Sinner, Novak Djokovic, and others, plus injury and fatigue risks over seven months. No other player holds the AO title, making alternatives impossible; Alcaraz's slim 0.1% reflects negligible reversal odds, with upsets or recoveries as only theoretical shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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