Reigning UFC Lightweight champion Ilia Topuria dominates trader consensus at 72.5% implied probability to hold the title through 2026, bolstered by his knockout victory over Charles Oliveira to claim the vacant belt at UFC 317 in June 2025 and plans for a summer title defense, potentially against interim champion Justin Gaethje at UFC White House in June. Renato Moicano's recent submission win over Chris Duncan via rear-naked choke in Round 2 at UFC Fight Night on April 4 has propelled his odds to 16.7%, signaling momentum in the crowded contender field. Arman Tsarukyan sits at 15.0% as a top-ranked grappler despite recent non-UFC outings, while Benoît Saint Denis' knockout streak—including finishes over Beneil Dariush and Dan Hooker—earns 11.8%, reflecting his finishing threat amid Topuria's brief personal hiatus earlier this year.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoIlia Topuria 73%
Arman Tsarukyan 16%
Justin Gaethje 7.0%
Charles Oliveira 1.4%
$21,191 Vol.
$21,191 Vol.
Ilia Topuria
73%
Arman Tsarukyan
16%
Charles Oliveira
1%
Max Holloway
7%
Justin Gaethje
7%
Paddy Pimblett
<1%
Dan Hooker
<1%
Mateusz Gamrot
<1%
Benoît Saint Denis
12%
Rafael Fiziev
<1%
Renato Moicano
13%
Ilia Topuria 73%
Arman Tsarukyan 16%
Justin Gaethje 7.0%
Charles Oliveira 1.4%
$21,191 Vol.
$21,191 Vol.
Ilia Topuria
73%
Arman Tsarukyan
16%
Charles Oliveira
1%
Max Holloway
7%
Justin Gaethje
7%
Paddy Pimblett
<1%
Dan Hooker
<1%
Mateusz Gamrot
<1%
Benoît Saint Denis
12%
Rafael Fiziev
<1%
Renato Moicano
13%
Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Mercado abierto: Jan 4, 2026, 2:29 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Reigning UFC Lightweight champion Ilia Topuria dominates trader consensus at 72.5% implied probability to hold the title through 2026, bolstered by his knockout victory over Charles Oliveira to claim the vacant belt at UFC 317 in June 2025 and plans for a summer title defense, potentially against interim champion Justin Gaethje at UFC White House in June. Renato Moicano's recent submission win over Chris Duncan via rear-naked choke in Round 2 at UFC Fight Night on April 4 has propelled his odds to 16.7%, signaling momentum in the crowded contender field. Arman Tsarukyan sits at 15.0% as a top-ranked grappler despite recent non-UFC outings, while Benoît Saint Denis' knockout streak—including finishes over Beneil Dariush and Dan Hooker—earns 11.8%, reflecting his finishing threat amid Topuria's brief personal hiatus earlier this year.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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