Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors No Replacement at 94.3% for Iran's slot in the FIFA World Cup 2026, driven by FIFA president Gianni Infantino's repeated confirmations last month that the early-qualified AFC side will participate despite ongoing Middle East conflict. Recent speculation peaked April 22 when a Trump envoy proposed swapping Iran for UEFA's top non-qualifier Italy, but FIFA swiftly dismissed it, with Iran affirming full preparedness and the US welcoming their players. Italy lingers at 3.9% on that rumor, while UAE and Bolivia reflect distant AFC/CONMEBOL playoff runners-up. Realistic challenges include escalated war logistics barring travel or unprecedented geopolitical expulsion before the tournament.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Qué equipo reemplazará a Irán en la Copa Mundial de la FIFA?
¿Qué equipo reemplazará a Irán en la Copa Mundial de la FIFA?
No Replacement 94.3%
Italy 3.9%
UAE <1%
Bolivia <1%
$16,849 Vol.
$16,849 Vol.

No Replacement
94%

Italy
4%

UAE
1%

Bolivia
<1%

Other
<1%
No Replacement 94.3%
Italy 3.9%
UAE <1%
Bolivia <1%
$16,849 Vol.
$16,849 Vol.

No Replacement
94%

Italy
4%

UAE
1%

Bolivia
<1%

Other
<1%
If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other”
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercado abierto: Apr 24, 2026, 4:43 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other”
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors No Replacement at 94.3% for Iran's slot in the FIFA World Cup 2026, driven by FIFA president Gianni Infantino's repeated confirmations last month that the early-qualified AFC side will participate despite ongoing Middle East conflict. Recent speculation peaked April 22 when a Trump envoy proposed swapping Iran for UEFA's top non-qualifier Italy, but FIFA swiftly dismissed it, with Iran affirming full preparedness and the US welcoming their players. Italy lingers at 3.9% on that rumor, while UAE and Bolivia reflect distant AFC/CONMEBOL playoff runners-up. Realistic challenges include escalated war logistics barring travel or unprecedented geopolitical expulsion before the tournament.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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