Trader consensus heavily favors Europe at 72.5% implied probability to claim the 2026 FIFA World Cup trophy, driven by their unmatched depth across 16 qualified teams, including Euro 2024 champions Spain, finalists France, and powerhouses like Germany, England, and the Netherlands, whose recent Nations League and qualifier dominance underscores superior talent pipelines and tactical sophistication. South America's 20.5% reflects Argentina's defending champion status and Brazil's historical pedigree amid a grueling CONMEBOL round-robin that secured six direct spots. The expanded 48-team format boosted representation from Asia (eight qualifiers like Uzbekistan's surprise debut), Africa (nine, including Cape Verde), and hosts North America, yet no continent beyond Europe or South America has ever won, keeping others below 3% despite March playoff dramas like Sweden edging Kosovo. With the June 11 kickoff nearing, pre-tournament camps highlight no major injury disruptions tilting the hierarchy.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Qué continente ganará la Copa Mundial de la FIFA 2026?
¿Qué continente ganará la Copa Mundial de la FIFA 2026?
Europa 73%
Sudamérica 21%
Asia 2.9%
África 2.9%
$1,934,879 Vol.
$1,934,879 Vol.
Europa
73%
Sudamérica
21%
Asia
3%
África
3%
América del Norte
2%
Oceanía
<1%
Europa 73%
Sudamérica 21%
Asia 2.9%
África 2.9%
$1,934,879 Vol.
$1,934,879 Vol.
Europa
73%
Sudamérica
21%
Asia
3%
África
3%
América del Norte
2%
Oceanía
<1%
For example, if France wins the tournament, the market will resolve to Europe.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The definitive source of the continent for each country will be World Population Review (https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/list-of-countries-by-continent).
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/) and the World Population Review; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Dec 8, 2025, 3:32 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...For example, if France wins the tournament, the market will resolve to Europe.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The definitive source of the continent for each country will be World Population Review (https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/list-of-countries-by-continent).
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/) and the World Population Review; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors Europe at 72.5% implied probability to claim the 2026 FIFA World Cup trophy, driven by their unmatched depth across 16 qualified teams, including Euro 2024 champions Spain, finalists France, and powerhouses like Germany, England, and the Netherlands, whose recent Nations League and qualifier dominance underscores superior talent pipelines and tactical sophistication. South America's 20.5% reflects Argentina's defending champion status and Brazil's historical pedigree amid a grueling CONMEBOL round-robin that secured six direct spots. The expanded 48-team format boosted representation from Asia (eight qualifiers like Uzbekistan's surprise debut), Africa (nine, including Cape Verde), and hosts North America, yet no continent beyond Europe or South America has ever won, keeping others below 3% despite March playoff dramas like Sweden edging Kosovo. With the June 11 kickoff nearing, pre-tournament camps highlight no major injury disruptions tilting the hierarchy.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes