Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a razor-thin race for the #2 spot in Netflix's US Top 10 TV shows this week, with The Chestnut Man slightly ahead at 27% implied probability amid early viewing data showing all frontrunners clustered tightly behind a dominant #1 like Man on Fire or Unchosen. Fresh premieres drive the logjam: Lord of the Flies debuted May 4 to strong reviews praising its harrowing adaptation of the Golding classic, boosting binge potential, while The Chestnut Man: Hide and Seek garners fresh acclaim for its chilling Nordic noir sequel just yesterday. Differentiators include franchise momentum for Berlin and the Lady with an Ermine (Money Heist spinoff buzz pre-May 15 drop), Kevin Hart's star-powered Roast live-streaming May 10, and true-crime hooks in Should I Marry A Murderer?, but volatile weekend streams and completion metrics could shuffle rankings before Tuesday's official update.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoWhat will be the #2 US Netflix show this week?
What will be the #2 US Netflix show this week?
The Chestnut Man 28%
Berlin and the Lady with an Ermine 27%
Lord of the Flies 27%
Should I Marry A Murderer? 27%

The Chestnut Man
28%

Berlin and the Lady with an Ermine
27%

Lord of the Flies
27%

Should I Marry A Murderer?
27%

The Roast of Kevin Hart
26%

Running Point
26%

Unchosen
26%

Legends
26%

The Boroughs
26%

Man on Fire
24%
The Chestnut Man 28%
Berlin and the Lady with an Ermine 27%
Lord of the Flies 27%
Should I Marry A Murderer? 27%

The Chestnut Man
28%

Berlin and the Lady with an Ermine
27%

Lord of the Flies
27%

Should I Marry A Murderer?
27%

The Roast of Kevin Hart
26%

Running Point
26%

Unchosen
26%

Legends
26%

The Boroughs
26%

Man on Fire
24%
This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #2 Netflix show in the United States.
The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows.
If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Mercado abierto: May 5, 2026, 3:40 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #2 Netflix show in the United States.
The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows.
If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a razor-thin race for the #2 spot in Netflix's US Top 10 TV shows this week, with The Chestnut Man slightly ahead at 27% implied probability amid early viewing data showing all frontrunners clustered tightly behind a dominant #1 like Man on Fire or Unchosen. Fresh premieres drive the logjam: Lord of the Flies debuted May 4 to strong reviews praising its harrowing adaptation of the Golding classic, boosting binge potential, while The Chestnut Man: Hide and Seek garners fresh acclaim for its chilling Nordic noir sequel just yesterday. Differentiators include franchise momentum for Berlin and the Lady with an Ermine (Money Heist spinoff buzz pre-May 15 drop), Kevin Hart's star-powered Roast live-streaming May 10, and true-crime hooks in Should I Marry A Murderer?, but volatile weekend streams and completion metrics could shuffle rankings before Tuesday's official update.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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