Trader consensus on Polymarket's "What will be said on ICEMAN?" markets heavily favors personal and cultural references in Drake's forthcoming album, with near-certainty (94-96% implied probability) on mentions like Epstein, Delilah, Kawhi/Leonard, and Timothee/Kylie, alongside strong bets (84%) on "Daddy" and Toronto, driven by Drake's history of introspective Toronto-centric bars, family nods, and conspiracy allusions amid his post-Kendrick Lamar beef recovery narrative. Lower odds (22%) for Kendrick/Lamar reflect cooled feud momentum since 2024 diss tracks. Recent catalysts include the viral Toronto ice sculpture rollout—melted by firefighters after fan chaos—producer Gordo's tease of "unheard of" content, and Joe Budden dubbing it a make-or-break moment. Album drops May 15, resolving via streaming transcripts, with first-week sales and Billboard No. 1 bets heating up.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoWhat will be said on ICEMAN?
What will be said on ICEMAN?
$45,635 Vol.
15 may 2026
Trump / Obama
17%
Kendrick / Lamar
22%
Super Bowl
47%
Six Seven
17%
Nuclear / Nuke
50%
Pinocchio
41%
Russia
22%
2026
37%
Batman
13%
No No No
29%
Armani
28%
Polymarket
11%
Caleb
60%
Toronto
54%
Kanye
26%
Virgil
25%
Epstein
27%
Covid
69%
Daddy
68%
Delilah
50%
Kawhi / Leonard
47%
Timothee / Kylie
50%
LeBron / Bronny
38%
AI / Artificial Intelligence
44%
Crypto / Bitcoin
18%
$45,635 Vol.
Trump / Obama
$2,533 Vol.
17%
Kendrick / Lamar
$1,220 Vol.
22%
Super Bowl
$2,692 Vol.
47%
Six Seven
$2,821 Vol.
17%
Nuclear / Nuke
$1,486 Vol.
50%
Pinocchio
$872 Vol.
41%
Russia
$3,329 Vol.
22%
2026
$1,894 Vol.
37%
Batman
$1,745 Vol.
13%
No No No
$815 Vol.
29%
Armani
$1,887 Vol.
28%
Polymarket
$4,477 Vol.
11%
Caleb
$1,579 Vol.
60%
Toronto
$1,380 Vol.
54%
Kanye
$1,355 Vol.
26%
Virgil
$886 Vol.
25%
Epstein
$2,113 Vol.
27%
Covid
$6,305 Vol.
69%
Daddy
$2,381 Vol.
68%
Delilah
$21 Vol.
50%
Kawhi / Leonard
$11 Vol.
47%
Timothee / Kylie
$10 Vol.
50%
LeBron / Bronny
$1,196 Vol.
38%
AI / Artificial Intelligence
$68 Vol.
44%
Crypto / Bitcoin
$2,560 Vol.
18%
Drake is expected to release his new album "ICEMAN" in 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone on the specified transcript for any track on the officially released full "ICEMAN" album. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Officially released means that Iceman is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Any Drake album officially confirmed to be the Iceman project will count, regardless of potential name changes.
Samples or clips of audio where people are speaking or singing which are included in the album will qualify toward this market's resolution so long as it is included in the specified transcript. AI-generated audio will count toward this market's resolution so long as it is included in the specified transcript.
In the case a term is censored on a relevant transcript, audio may be consulted to verify that a qualifying mention occurred.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Any usage of the term, regardless of context, will count toward the resolution of this market.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
This market will resolve according to the initial release of the full album on a qualifying streaming platform. Releases consisting only of individual songs or remixes released later will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be the audio transcripts for this album provided by the listed streaming platforms in the following order of priority: Spotify, Apple Music, YouTube Music, Amazon Music, Tidal (e.g., Spotify will be used unless it does not provide a necessary transcript, then Apple Music will be used, etc.).
If no such album is released in full by by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to based on what has been released up to that point. If the album is not released on any of the listed platforms by the specified end date, this market will resolve to "No".Trader consensus on Polymarket's "What will be said on ICEMAN?" markets heavily favors personal and cultural references in Drake's forthcoming album, with near-certainty (94-96% implied probability) on mentions like Epstein, Delilah, Kawhi/Leonard, and Timothee/Kylie, alongside strong bets (84%) on "Daddy" and Toronto, driven by Drake's history of introspective Toronto-centric bars, family nods, and conspiracy allusions amid his post-Kendrick Lamar beef recovery narrative. Lower odds (22%) for Kendrick/Lamar reflect cooled feud momentum since 2024 diss tracks. Recent catalysts include the viral Toronto ice sculpture rollout—melted by firefighters after fan chaos—producer Gordo's tease of "unheard of" content, and Joe Budden dubbing it a make-or-break moment. Album drops May 15, resolving via streaming transcripts, with first-week sales and Billboard No. 1 bets heating up.
Drake is expected to release his new album "ICEMAN" in 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone on the specified transcript for any track on the officially released full "ICEMAN" album. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Officially released means that Iceman is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Any Drake album officially confirmed to be the Iceman project will count, regardless of potential name changes.
Samples or clips of audio where people are speaking or singing which are included in the album will qualify toward this market's resolution so long as it is included in the specified transcript. AI-generated audio will count toward this market's resolution so long as it is included in the specified transcript.
In the case a term is censored on a relevant transcript, audio may be consulted to verify that a qualifying mention occurred.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Any usage of the term, regardless of context, will count toward the resolution of this market.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
This market will resolve according to the initial release of the full album on a qualifying streaming platform. Releases consisting only of individual songs or remixes released later will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be the audio transcripts for this album provided by the listed streaming platforms in the following order of priority: Spotify, Apple Music, YouTube Music, Amazon Music, Tidal (e.g., Spotify will be used unless it does not provide a necessary transcript, then Apple Music will be used, etc.).
If no such album is released in full by by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to based on what has been released up to that point. If the album is not released on any of the listed platforms by the specified end date, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone on the specified transcript for any track on the officially released full "ICEMAN" album. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Officially released means that Iceman is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Any Drake album officially confirmed to be the Iceman project will count, regardless of potential name changes.
Samples or clips of audio where people are speaking or singing which are included in the album will qualify toward this market's resolution so long as it is included in the specified transcript. AI-generated audio will count toward this market's resolution so long as it is included in the specified transcript.
In the case a term is censored on a relevant transcript, audio may be consulted to verify that a qualifying mention occurred.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Any usage of the term, regardless of context, will count toward the resolution of this market.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
This market will resolve according to the initial release of the full album on a qualifying streaming platform. Releases consisting only of individual songs or remixes released later will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be the audio transcripts for this album provided by the listed streaming platforms in the following order of priority: Spotify, Apple Music, YouTube Music, Amazon Music, Tidal (e.g., Spotify will be used unless it does not provide a necessary transcript, then Apple Music will be used, etc.).
If no such album is released in full by by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to based on what has been released up to that point. If the album is not released on any of the listed platforms by the specified end date, this market will resolve to "No".
Mercado abierto: Apr 22, 2026, 4:32 PM ET
Volumen
$45,635Fecha de finalización
15 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 22, 2026, 4:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Drake is expected to release his new album "ICEMAN" in 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone on the specified transcript for any track on the officially released full "ICEMAN" album. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Officially released means that Iceman is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Any Drake album officially confirmed to be the Iceman project will count, regardless of potential name changes.
Samples or clips of audio where people are speaking or singing which are included in the album will qualify toward this market's resolution so long as it is included in the specified transcript. AI-generated audio will count toward this market's resolution so long as it is included in the specified transcript.
In the case a term is censored on a relevant transcript, audio may be consulted to verify that a qualifying mention occurred.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Any usage of the term, regardless of context, will count toward the resolution of this market.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
This market will resolve according to the initial release of the full album on a qualifying streaming platform. Releases consisting only of individual songs or remixes released later will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be the audio transcripts for this album provided by the listed streaming platforms in the following order of priority: Spotify, Apple Music, YouTube Music, Amazon Music, Tidal (e.g., Spotify will be used unless it does not provide a necessary transcript, then Apple Music will be used, etc.).
If no such album is released in full by by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to based on what has been released up to that point. If the album is not released on any of the listed platforms by the specified end date, this market will resolve to "No".Trader consensus on Polymarket's "What will be said on ICEMAN?" markets heavily favors personal and cultural references in Drake's forthcoming album, with near-certainty (94-96% implied probability) on mentions like Epstein, Delilah, Kawhi/Leonard, and Timothee/Kylie, alongside strong bets (84%) on "Daddy" and Toronto, driven by Drake's history of introspective Toronto-centric bars, family nods, and conspiracy allusions amid his post-Kendrick Lamar beef recovery narrative. Lower odds (22%) for Kendrick/Lamar reflect cooled feud momentum since 2024 diss tracks. Recent catalysts include the viral Toronto ice sculpture rollout—melted by firefighters after fan chaos—producer Gordo's tease of "unheard of" content, and Joe Budden dubbing it a make-or-break moment. Album drops May 15, resolving via streaming transcripts, with first-week sales and Billboard No. 1 bets heating up.
Drake is expected to release his new album "ICEMAN" in 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone on the specified transcript for any track on the officially released full "ICEMAN" album. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Officially released means that Iceman is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Any Drake album officially confirmed to be the Iceman project will count, regardless of potential name changes.
Samples or clips of audio where people are speaking or singing which are included in the album will qualify toward this market's resolution so long as it is included in the specified transcript. AI-generated audio will count toward this market's resolution so long as it is included in the specified transcript.
In the case a term is censored on a relevant transcript, audio may be consulted to verify that a qualifying mention occurred.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Any usage of the term, regardless of context, will count toward the resolution of this market.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
This market will resolve according to the initial release of the full album on a qualifying streaming platform. Releases consisting only of individual songs or remixes released later will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be the audio transcripts for this album provided by the listed streaming platforms in the following order of priority: Spotify, Apple Music, YouTube Music, Amazon Music, Tidal (e.g., Spotify will be used unless it does not provide a necessary transcript, then Apple Music will be used, etc.).
If no such album is released in full by by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to based on what has been released up to that point. If the album is not released on any of the listed platforms by the specified end date, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone on the specified transcript for any track on the officially released full "ICEMAN" album. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Officially released means that Iceman is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Any Drake album officially confirmed to be the Iceman project will count, regardless of potential name changes.
Samples or clips of audio where people are speaking or singing which are included in the album will qualify toward this market's resolution so long as it is included in the specified transcript. AI-generated audio will count toward this market's resolution so long as it is included in the specified transcript.
In the case a term is censored on a relevant transcript, audio may be consulted to verify that a qualifying mention occurred.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Any usage of the term, regardless of context, will count toward the resolution of this market.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
This market will resolve according to the initial release of the full album on a qualifying streaming platform. Releases consisting only of individual songs or remixes released later will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be the audio transcripts for this album provided by the listed streaming platforms in the following order of priority: Spotify, Apple Music, YouTube Music, Amazon Music, Tidal (e.g., Spotify will be used unless it does not provide a necessary transcript, then Apple Music will be used, etc.).
If no such album is released in full by by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to based on what has been released up to that point. If the album is not released on any of the listed platforms by the specified end date, this market will resolve to "No".
Volumen
$45,635Fecha de finalización
15 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 22, 2026, 4:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket's "What will be said on ICEMAN?" markets heavily favors personal and cultural references in Drake's forthcoming album, with near-certainty (94-96% implied probability) on mentions like Epstein, Delilah, Kawhi/Leonard, and Timothee/Kylie, alongside strong bets (84%) on "Daddy" and Toronto, driven by Drake's history of introspective Toronto-centric bars, family nods, and conspiracy allusions amid his post-Kendrick Lamar beef recovery narrative. Lower odds (22%) for Kendrick/Lamar reflect cooled feud momentum since 2024 diss tracks. Recent catalysts include the viral Toronto ice sculpture rollout—melted by firefighters after fan chaos—producer Gordo's tease of "unheard of" content, and Joe Budden dubbing it a make-or-break moment. Album drops May 15, resolving via streaming transcripts, with first-week sales and Billboard No. 1 bets heating up.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes