Trader consensus on Polymarket's "What will be said on ICEMAN?" markets favors "Daddy" at 71% implied probability, "Covid" at 70%, and "Caleb" at 61%, driven by Drake's history of introspective family references and pandemic-era reflections in albums like Certified Lover Boy, amplified by the absence of confirmed tracklist leaks or diss tracks amid his ongoing Kendrick Lamar feud. The viral Toronto ice sculpture stunt unveiling the May 15, 2026 release date ten days ago sparked volume surges to $45K without shifting beef-related odds like "Kendrick / Lamar" (22%), signaling expectations of personal evolution over retaliation. With no fresh snippets in the past week, traders eye the album drop in two weeks for transcript-based resolution, alongside high-confidence related bets on a Billboard 200 No. 1 debut.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoWhat will be said on ICEMAN?
What will be said on ICEMAN?
$45,382 Vol.
Trump / Obama
26%
Kendrick / Lamar
22%
Super Bowl
31%
Six Seven
17%
Nuclear / Nuke
51%
Pinocchio
41%
Russia
22%
2026
37%
Batman
13%
No No No
29%
Armani
28%
Polymarket
11%
Caleb
60%
Toronto
56%
Kanye
26%
Virgil
25%
Epstein
29%
Covid
68%
Daddy
73%
Delilah
50%
Kawhi / Leonard
49%
Timothee / Kylie
50%
LeBron / Bronny
40%
AI / Artificial Intelligence
43%
Crypto / Bitcoin
18%
$45,382 Vol.
Trump / Obama
26%
Kendrick / Lamar
22%
Super Bowl
31%
Six Seven
17%
Nuclear / Nuke
51%
Pinocchio
41%
Russia
22%
2026
37%
Batman
13%
No No No
29%
Armani
28%
Polymarket
11%
Caleb
60%
Toronto
56%
Kanye
26%
Virgil
25%
Epstein
29%
Covid
68%
Daddy
73%
Delilah
50%
Kawhi / Leonard
49%
Timothee / Kylie
50%
LeBron / Bronny
40%
AI / Artificial Intelligence
43%
Crypto / Bitcoin
18%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone on the specified transcript for any track on the officially released full "ICEMAN" album. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Officially released means that Iceman is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Any Drake album officially confirmed to be the Iceman project will count, regardless of potential name changes.
Samples or clips of audio where people are speaking or singing which are included in the album will qualify toward this market's resolution so long as it is included in the specified transcript. AI-generated audio will count toward this market's resolution so long as it is included in the specified transcript.
In the case a term is censored on a relevant transcript, audio may be consulted to verify that a qualifying mention occurred.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Any usage of the term, regardless of context, will count toward the resolution of this market.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
This market will resolve according to the initial release of the full album on a qualifying streaming platform. Releases consisting only of individual songs or remixes released later will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be the audio transcripts for this album provided by the listed streaming platforms in the following order of priority: Spotify, Apple Music, YouTube Music, Amazon Music, Tidal (e.g., Spotify will be used unless it does not provide a necessary transcript, then Apple Music will be used, etc.).
If no such album is released in full by by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to based on what has been released up to that point. If the album is not released on any of the listed platforms by the specified end date, this market will resolve to "No".
Mercado abierto: Apr 22, 2026, 4:32 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone on the specified transcript for any track on the officially released full "ICEMAN" album. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Officially released means that Iceman is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Any Drake album officially confirmed to be the Iceman project will count, regardless of potential name changes.
Samples or clips of audio where people are speaking or singing which are included in the album will qualify toward this market's resolution so long as it is included in the specified transcript. AI-generated audio will count toward this market's resolution so long as it is included in the specified transcript.
In the case a term is censored on a relevant transcript, audio may be consulted to verify that a qualifying mention occurred.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Any usage of the term, regardless of context, will count toward the resolution of this market.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
This market will resolve according to the initial release of the full album on a qualifying streaming platform. Releases consisting only of individual songs or remixes released later will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be the audio transcripts for this album provided by the listed streaming platforms in the following order of priority: Spotify, Apple Music, YouTube Music, Amazon Music, Tidal (e.g., Spotify will be used unless it does not provide a necessary transcript, then Apple Music will be used, etc.).
If no such album is released in full by by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to based on what has been released up to that point. If the album is not released on any of the listed platforms by the specified end date, this market will resolve to "No".
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket's "What will be said on ICEMAN?" markets favors "Daddy" at 71% implied probability, "Covid" at 70%, and "Caleb" at 61%, driven by Drake's history of introspective family references and pandemic-era reflections in albums like Certified Lover Boy, amplified by the absence of confirmed tracklist leaks or diss tracks amid his ongoing Kendrick Lamar feud. The viral Toronto ice sculpture stunt unveiling the May 15, 2026 release date ten days ago sparked volume surges to $45K without shifting beef-related odds like "Kendrick / Lamar" (22%), signaling expectations of personal evolution over retaliation. With no fresh snippets in the past week, traders eye the album drop in two weeks for transcript-based resolution, alongside high-confidence related bets on a Billboard 200 No. 1 debut.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes