**Trader consensus prices No at 64.5% for a Turkish constitutional referendum announcement by December 31, 2026, reflecting stalled progress amid parliamentary hurdles.** The ruling Justice and Development Party (AKP) submitted initial new constitution proposals to President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan in late December 2025, following a commission appointed in May 2025, with party officials preparing drafts into February 2026 amid speculation on extending presidential term limits under Article 101. However, no official referendum call has emerged, as the AKP-MHP coalition holds around 330 seats—short of the 360 needed for direct referendum without presidential decree—facing opposition resistance from CHP and others wary of power consolidation. Recent declarations of 2026 as a "year of reforms" emphasize economic and structural changes like tax incentives over constitutional action, while debates on Erdoğan's succession intensify uncertainty. With eight months remaining, traders see low near-term catalysts absent cross-party negotiations or floor votes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSí
NUEVO
NUEVO
31 dic 2026
Sí
NUEVO
NUEVO
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a referendum to adopt a new constitution in Turkey is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey to adopt a new constitution. Referenda to approve one or more amendments to the Constitution will not qualify.
Qualifying announcements must specify a date for the referendum or definitively announce that a referendum will be held. An announcement by the specified date will qualify regardless of when the referendum is scheduled to be held.
If a new constitution is officially adopted within the specified timeframe without a referendum (e.g., via the required parliamentary supermajority), this market will immediately resolve this market to “Yes.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Trader consensus prices No at 64.5% for a Turkish constitutional referendum announcement by December 31, 2026, reflecting stalled progress amid parliamentary hurdles.** The ruling Justice and Development Party (AKP) submitted initial new constitution proposals to President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan in late December 2025, following a commission appointed in May 2025, with party officials preparing drafts into February 2026 amid speculation on extending presidential term limits under Article 101. However, no official referendum call has emerged, as the AKP-MHP coalition holds around 330 seats—short of the 360 needed for direct referendum without presidential decree—facing opposition resistance from CHP and others wary of power consolidation. Recent declarations of 2026 as a "year of reforms" emphasize economic and structural changes like tax incentives over constitutional action, while debates on Erdoğan's succession intensify uncertainty. With eight months remaining, traders see low near-term catalysts absent cross-party negotiations or floor votes.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a referendum to adopt a new constitution in Turkey is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey to adopt a new constitution. Referenda to approve one or more amendments to the Constitution will not qualify.
Qualifying announcements must specify a date for the referendum or definitively announce that a referendum will be held. An announcement by the specified date will qualify regardless of when the referendum is scheduled to be held.
If a new constitution is officially adopted within the specified timeframe without a referendum (e.g., via the required parliamentary supermajority), this market will immediately resolve this market to “Yes.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey to adopt a new constitution. Referenda to approve one or more amendments to the Constitution will not qualify.
Qualifying announcements must specify a date for the referendum or definitively announce that a referendum will be held. An announcement by the specified date will qualify regardless of when the referendum is scheduled to be held.
If a new constitution is officially adopted within the specified timeframe without a referendum (e.g., via the required parliamentary supermajority), this market will immediately resolve this market to “Yes.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Apr 1, 2026, 4:01 PM ET
Volumen
$760Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 1, 2026, 4:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if a referendum to adopt a new constitution in Turkey is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey to adopt a new constitution. Referenda to approve one or more amendments to the Constitution will not qualify.
Qualifying announcements must specify a date for the referendum or definitively announce that a referendum will be held. An announcement by the specified date will qualify regardless of when the referendum is scheduled to be held.
If a new constitution is officially adopted within the specified timeframe without a referendum (e.g., via the required parliamentary supermajority), this market will immediately resolve this market to “Yes.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Trader consensus prices No at 64.5% for a Turkish constitutional referendum announcement by December 31, 2026, reflecting stalled progress amid parliamentary hurdles.** The ruling Justice and Development Party (AKP) submitted initial new constitution proposals to President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan in late December 2025, following a commission appointed in May 2025, with party officials preparing drafts into February 2026 amid speculation on extending presidential term limits under Article 101. However, no official referendum call has emerged, as the AKP-MHP coalition holds around 330 seats—short of the 360 needed for direct referendum without presidential decree—facing opposition resistance from CHP and others wary of power consolidation. Recent declarations of 2026 as a "year of reforms" emphasize economic and structural changes like tax incentives over constitutional action, while debates on Erdoğan's succession intensify uncertainty. With eight months remaining, traders see low near-term catalysts absent cross-party negotiations or floor votes.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a referendum to adopt a new constitution in Turkey is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey to adopt a new constitution. Referenda to approve one or more amendments to the Constitution will not qualify.
Qualifying announcements must specify a date for the referendum or definitively announce that a referendum will be held. An announcement by the specified date will qualify regardless of when the referendum is scheduled to be held.
If a new constitution is officially adopted within the specified timeframe without a referendum (e.g., via the required parliamentary supermajority), this market will immediately resolve this market to “Yes.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey to adopt a new constitution. Referenda to approve one or more amendments to the Constitution will not qualify.
Qualifying announcements must specify a date for the referendum or definitively announce that a referendum will be held. An announcement by the specified date will qualify regardless of when the referendum is scheduled to be held.
If a new constitution is officially adopted within the specified timeframe without a referendum (e.g., via the required parliamentary supermajority), this market will immediately resolve this market to “Yes.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$760Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 1, 2026, 4:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Trader consensus prices No at 64.5% for a Turkish constitutional referendum announcement by December 31, 2026, reflecting stalled progress amid parliamentary hurdles.** The ruling Justice and Development Party (AKP) submitted initial new constitution proposals to President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan in late December 2025, following a commission appointed in May 2025, with party officials preparing drafts into February 2026 amid speculation on extending presidential term limits under Article 101. However, no official referendum call has emerged, as the AKP-MHP coalition holds around 330 seats—short of the 360 needed for direct referendum without presidential decree—facing opposition resistance from CHP and others wary of power consolidation. Recent declarations of 2026 as a "year of reforms" emphasize economic and structural changes like tax incentives over constitutional action, while debates on Erdoğan's succession intensify uncertainty. With eight months remaining, traders see low near-term catalysts absent cross-party negotiations or floor votes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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