**Trader consensus favors "No" at 67% on Turkey announcing a constitutional referendum in 2026, reflecting stalled progress despite ruling AK Party's late-2025 submission of a new constitution draft to President Erdoğan.** Early 2026 rhetoric from the deputy parliament speaker suggested potential changes to enable another Erdoğan term beyond 2028 limits, and the coalition gained parliamentary seats in January, but no legislative votes, commission advancements, or official announcements have materialized by May. Recent government focus has shifted to economic reforms declared as 2026 priorities, including tax incentives and industrial upgrades, sidelining constitutional efforts amid opposition resistance and the need for 400 Grand National Assembly votes to bypass a referendum. With half the year remaining, traders weigh procedural hurdles and historical delays in past reform pushes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSí
NUEVO
NUEVO
31 dic 2026
Sí
NUEVO
NUEVO
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a referendum to adopt a new constitution in Turkey is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey to adopt a new constitution. Referenda to approve one or more amendments to the Constitution will not qualify.
Qualifying announcements must specify a date for the referendum or definitively announce that a referendum will be held. An announcement by the specified date will qualify regardless of when the referendum is scheduled to be held.
If a new constitution is officially adopted within the specified timeframe without a referendum (e.g., via the required parliamentary supermajority), this market will immediately resolve this market to “Yes.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Trader consensus favors "No" at 67% on Turkey announcing a constitutional referendum in 2026, reflecting stalled progress despite ruling AK Party's late-2025 submission of a new constitution draft to President Erdoğan.** Early 2026 rhetoric from the deputy parliament speaker suggested potential changes to enable another Erdoğan term beyond 2028 limits, and the coalition gained parliamentary seats in January, but no legislative votes, commission advancements, or official announcements have materialized by May. Recent government focus has shifted to economic reforms declared as 2026 priorities, including tax incentives and industrial upgrades, sidelining constitutional efforts amid opposition resistance and the need for 400 Grand National Assembly votes to bypass a referendum. With half the year remaining, traders weigh procedural hurdles and historical delays in past reform pushes.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a referendum to adopt a new constitution in Turkey is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey to adopt a new constitution. Referenda to approve one or more amendments to the Constitution will not qualify.
Qualifying announcements must specify a date for the referendum or definitively announce that a referendum will be held. An announcement by the specified date will qualify regardless of when the referendum is scheduled to be held.
If a new constitution is officially adopted within the specified timeframe without a referendum (e.g., via the required parliamentary supermajority), this market will immediately resolve this market to “Yes.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey to adopt a new constitution. Referenda to approve one or more amendments to the Constitution will not qualify.
Qualifying announcements must specify a date for the referendum or definitively announce that a referendum will be held. An announcement by the specified date will qualify regardless of when the referendum is scheduled to be held.
If a new constitution is officially adopted within the specified timeframe without a referendum (e.g., via the required parliamentary supermajority), this market will immediately resolve this market to “Yes.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Apr 1, 2026, 4:01 PM ET
Volumen
$760Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 1, 2026, 4:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if a referendum to adopt a new constitution in Turkey is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey to adopt a new constitution. Referenda to approve one or more amendments to the Constitution will not qualify.
Qualifying announcements must specify a date for the referendum or definitively announce that a referendum will be held. An announcement by the specified date will qualify regardless of when the referendum is scheduled to be held.
If a new constitution is officially adopted within the specified timeframe without a referendum (e.g., via the required parliamentary supermajority), this market will immediately resolve this market to “Yes.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Trader consensus favors "No" at 67% on Turkey announcing a constitutional referendum in 2026, reflecting stalled progress despite ruling AK Party's late-2025 submission of a new constitution draft to President Erdoğan.** Early 2026 rhetoric from the deputy parliament speaker suggested potential changes to enable another Erdoğan term beyond 2028 limits, and the coalition gained parliamentary seats in January, but no legislative votes, commission advancements, or official announcements have materialized by May. Recent government focus has shifted to economic reforms declared as 2026 priorities, including tax incentives and industrial upgrades, sidelining constitutional efforts amid opposition resistance and the need for 400 Grand National Assembly votes to bypass a referendum. With half the year remaining, traders weigh procedural hurdles and historical delays in past reform pushes.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a referendum to adopt a new constitution in Turkey is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey to adopt a new constitution. Referenda to approve one or more amendments to the Constitution will not qualify.
Qualifying announcements must specify a date for the referendum or definitively announce that a referendum will be held. An announcement by the specified date will qualify regardless of when the referendum is scheduled to be held.
If a new constitution is officially adopted within the specified timeframe without a referendum (e.g., via the required parliamentary supermajority), this market will immediately resolve this market to “Yes.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey to adopt a new constitution. Referenda to approve one or more amendments to the Constitution will not qualify.
Qualifying announcements must specify a date for the referendum or definitively announce that a referendum will be held. An announcement by the specified date will qualify regardless of when the referendum is scheduled to be held.
If a new constitution is officially adopted within the specified timeframe without a referendum (e.g., via the required parliamentary supermajority), this market will immediately resolve this market to “Yes.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$760Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 1, 2026, 4:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Trader consensus favors "No" at 67% on Turkey announcing a constitutional referendum in 2026, reflecting stalled progress despite ruling AK Party's late-2025 submission of a new constitution draft to President Erdoğan.** Early 2026 rhetoric from the deputy parliament speaker suggested potential changes to enable another Erdoğan term beyond 2028 limits, and the coalition gained parliamentary seats in January, but no legislative votes, commission advancements, or official announcements have materialized by May. Recent government focus has shifted to economic reforms declared as 2026 priorities, including tax incentives and industrial upgrades, sidelining constitutional efforts amid opposition resistance and the need for 400 Grand National Assembly votes to bypass a referendum. With half the year remaining, traders weigh procedural hurdles and historical delays in past reform pushes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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