Polymarket traders show a razor-thin split in Tesla (TSLA) weekly close expectations, with $350-$355 implying 49% probability edging out >$395 at 39.5%, reflecting post-Q1 2026 earnings volatility after the April 22 release. Shares closed April 27 at $378.67, up 0.63% amid pre-market dips to $372, as investors digest a revenue miss to $22.4 billion despite EPS beat at $0.41, record $25 billion-plus 2026 capex for AI, robotics, and Cybercab amid EV demand softening, 50,000-unit inventory overhang, and NHTSA Full Self-Driving scrutiny. Bulls price in energy segment strength (30% margins) and robotaxi momentum, while bears eye margin pressure and Musk pay package dilution; end-of-week trading volume and macro risk appetite will decide the breakout.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$380-$385 28%
$375-$380 22%
$385-$390 22%
$370-$375 20%
<$350
8%
$350-$355
10%
$355-$360
7%
$360-$365
8%
$365-$370
11%
$370-$375
20%
$375-$380
22%
$380-$385
28%
$385-$390
22%
$390-$395
13%
>$395
16%
$380-$385 28%
$375-$380 22%
$385-$390 22%
$370-$375 20%
<$350
8%
$350-$355
10%
$355-$360
7%
$360-$365
8%
$365-$370
11%
$370-$375
20%
$375-$380
22%
$380-$385
28%
$385-$390
22%
$390-$395
13%
>$395
16%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Mercado abierto: Apr 24, 2026, 6:11 PM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Fuente de resolución
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Polymarket traders show a razor-thin split in Tesla (TSLA) weekly close expectations, with $350-$355 implying 49% probability edging out >$395 at 39.5%, reflecting post-Q1 2026 earnings volatility after the April 22 release. Shares closed April 27 at $378.67, up 0.63% amid pre-market dips to $372, as investors digest a revenue miss to $22.4 billion despite EPS beat at $0.41, record $25 billion-plus 2026 capex for AI, robotics, and Cybercab amid EV demand softening, 50,000-unit inventory overhang, and NHTSA Full Self-Driving scrutiny. Bulls price in energy segment strength (30% margins) and robotaxi momentum, while bears eye margin pressure and Musk pay package dilution; end-of-week trading volume and macro risk appetite will decide the breakout.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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