Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) to secure the most National Assembly seats in the June 3, 2026, parliamentary by-elections across 14 constituencies vacated by incumbents running for local offices, driven by DP's sustained national poll leads—46-51% support versus the People Power Party's (PPP) 20-31%—and President Lee Jae-myung's approval ratings holding at 60-69% in late April surveys. Recent DP candidate nominations, including high-profile former officials like the ex-AI strategy secretary for Busan Buk-Gap, have bolstered its organizational edge amid PPP struggles with candidate shortages and internal disarray. While structural advantages position DP for a sweep, potential challenges include scandals, Rebuilding Korea Party surges in tight races like Pyeongtaek-B, or unexpected voter turnout shifts favoring the opposition.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoElecciones parciales de Corea del Sur: Ganador del partido
Elecciones parciales de Corea del Sur: Ganador del partido
Partido Democrático de Corea (DP) 97.6%
Partido del Poder del Pueblo (PPP) 2.1%
Partido de la Reconstrucción de Corea (RKP) <1%
Partido Progresista (PP) <1%
$41,933 Vol.
$41,933 Vol.

Partido del Poder del Pueblo (PPP)
2%

Partido Democrático de Corea (DP)
98%

Partido de la Reconstrucción de Corea (RKP)
<1%

Partido Progresista (PP)
<1%

Partido de la Reforma (RP)
<1%
Partido Democrático de Corea (DP) 97.6%
Partido del Poder del Pueblo (PPP) 2.1%
Partido de la Reconstrucción de Corea (RKP) <1%
Partido Progresista (PP) <1%
$41,933 Vol.
$41,933 Vol.

Partido del Poder del Pueblo (PPP)
2%

Partido Democrático de Corea (DP)
98%

Partido de la Reconstrucción de Corea (RKP)
<1%

Partido Progresista (PP)
<1%

Partido de la Reforma (RP)
<1%
This market will resolve to the party that wins the greatest number of National Assembly seats in the parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified parties in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which they may be a part.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes across all the relevant parliamentary by-elections. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed full name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
Mercado abierto: Feb 12, 2026, 4:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the party that wins the greatest number of National Assembly seats in the parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified parties in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which they may be a part.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes across all the relevant parliamentary by-elections. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed full name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) to secure the most National Assembly seats in the June 3, 2026, parliamentary by-elections across 14 constituencies vacated by incumbents running for local offices, driven by DP's sustained national poll leads—46-51% support versus the People Power Party's (PPP) 20-31%—and President Lee Jae-myung's approval ratings holding at 60-69% in late April surveys. Recent DP candidate nominations, including high-profile former officials like the ex-AI strategy secretary for Busan Buk-Gap, have bolstered its organizational edge amid PPP struggles with candidate shortages and internal disarray. While structural advantages position DP for a sweep, potential challenges include scandals, Rebuilding Korea Party surges in tight races like Pyeongtaek-B, or unexpected voter turnout shifts favoring the opposition.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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