Pierre Poilievre secured an overwhelming 87.4% endorsement in the Conservative Party of Canada’s mandatory leadership review at the January 2026 Calgary convention, far exceeding the 50% threshold required after the party’s 2025 election defeat. No organized caucus challenge, credible alternative candidate, or constitutional trigger for a new contest has emerged in the intervening months. While isolated floor crossings by MPs and mixed national polling persist, delegate and grassroots support remains firm, with recent internal surveys showing sustained approval among core Conservative voters. These factors have produced strong trader consensus reflected in the elevated probability that Poilievre will retain the leadership through the December 31, 2026 resolution window.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSí
$151,416 Vol.
$151,416 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sí
$151,416 Vol.
$151,416 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pierre Poilievre ceases to be Leader of the Conservative Party of Canada for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Pierre Poilievre's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pierre Poilievre and the Conservative Party of Canada; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Pierre Poilievre secured an overwhelming 87.4% endorsement in the Conservative Party of Canada’s mandatory leadership review at the January 2026 Calgary convention, far exceeding the 50% threshold required after the party’s 2025 election defeat. No organized caucus challenge, credible alternative candidate, or constitutional trigger for a new contest has emerged in the intervening months. While isolated floor crossings by MPs and mixed national polling persist, delegate and grassroots support remains firm, with recent internal surveys showing sustained approval among core Conservative voters. These factors have produced strong trader consensus reflected in the elevated probability that Poilievre will retain the leadership through the December 31, 2026 resolution window.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pierre Poilievre ceases to be Leader of the Conservative Party of Canada for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Pierre Poilievre's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pierre Poilievre and the Conservative Party of Canada; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Pierre Poilievre's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pierre Poilievre and the Conservative Party of Canada; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Nov 5, 2025, 12:02 PM ET
Volumen
$151,416Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Nov 5, 2025, 12:02 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pierre Poilievre ceases to be Leader of the Conservative Party of Canada for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Pierre Poilievre's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pierre Poilievre and the Conservative Party of Canada; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Pierre Poilievre secured an overwhelming 87.4% endorsement in the Conservative Party of Canada’s mandatory leadership review at the January 2026 Calgary convention, far exceeding the 50% threshold required after the party’s 2025 election defeat. No organized caucus challenge, credible alternative candidate, or constitutional trigger for a new contest has emerged in the intervening months. While isolated floor crossings by MPs and mixed national polling persist, delegate and grassroots support remains firm, with recent internal surveys showing sustained approval among core Conservative voters. These factors have produced strong trader consensus reflected in the elevated probability that Poilievre will retain the leadership through the December 31, 2026 resolution window.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pierre Poilievre ceases to be Leader of the Conservative Party of Canada for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Pierre Poilievre's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pierre Poilievre and the Conservative Party of Canada; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Pierre Poilievre's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pierre Poilievre and the Conservative Party of Canada; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$151,416Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Nov 5, 2025, 12:02 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Pierre Poilievre secured an overwhelming 87.4% endorsement in the Conservative Party of Canada’s mandatory leadership review at the January 2026 Calgary convention, far exceeding the 50% threshold required after the party’s 2025 election defeat. No organized caucus challenge, credible alternative candidate, or constitutional trigger for a new contest has emerged in the intervening months. While isolated floor crossings by MPs and mixed national polling persist, delegate and grassroots support remains firm, with recent internal surveys showing sustained approval among core Conservative voters. These factors have produced strong trader consensus reflected in the elevated probability that Poilievre will retain the leadership through the December 31, 2026 resolution window.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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