**Only two PGA Tour events remain before the June 30 deadline—the U.S. Open at Shinnecock Hills (June 18–21) and the Travelers Championship (June 25–28)—leaving roughly 8–10 rounds of competitive play.** Albatrosses occur infrequently on the PGA Tour, with historical data showing just a handful per season across dozens of tournaments, making the short window a primary driver of the 63% implied probability on “No.” The U.S. Open setup at the demanding Shinnecock Hills further reduces likelihood, as its long, firm par-5s rarely allow the precise, reachable second shots needed. No albatrosses have been recorded in 2026 PGA Tour events since March, and recent form, course conditions, or player availability do not point to elevated odds of the feat occurring in the remaining schedule. The wisdom of crowds reflected in current pricing accounts for this compressed timeframe and the shot’s inherent rarity.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSí
$25 Vol.
$25 Vol.
Sí
$25 Vol.
$25 Vol.
Only main tournament rounds will be considered. No Par 3, practice round, or any other form of play that is not officially scored as part of the main tournament rounds of applicable PGA Tour-sanctioned tournaments or major championship will count toward the resolution of this market.
If the 2026 PGA Tour or applicable majors tournaments are cancelled, postponed after June 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if it cannot be determined if an albatross has been recorded during this timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the PGA Tour and/or the organizer of the applicable majors tournament; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: May 19, 2026, 3:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Only main tournament rounds will be considered. No Par 3, practice round, or any other form of play that is not officially scored as part of the main tournament rounds of applicable PGA Tour-sanctioned tournaments or major championship will count toward the resolution of this market.
If the 2026 PGA Tour or applicable majors tournaments are cancelled, postponed after June 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if it cannot be determined if an albatross has been recorded during this timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the PGA Tour and/or the organizer of the applicable majors tournament; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...**Only two PGA Tour events remain before the June 30 deadline—the U.S. Open at Shinnecock Hills (June 18–21) and the Travelers Championship (June 25–28)—leaving roughly 8–10 rounds of competitive play.** Albatrosses occur infrequently on the PGA Tour, with historical data showing just a handful per season across dozens of tournaments, making the short window a primary driver of the 63% implied probability on “No.” The U.S. Open setup at the demanding Shinnecock Hills further reduces likelihood, as its long, firm par-5s rarely allow the precise, reachable second shots needed. No albatrosses have been recorded in 2026 PGA Tour events since March, and recent form, course conditions, or player availability do not point to elevated odds of the feat occurring in the remaining schedule. The wisdom of crowds reflected in current pricing accounts for this compressed timeframe and the shot’s inherent rarity.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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