Trader consensus overwhelmingly prices Pheu Thai Party (PT) at 70–79 seats in Thailand's 500-member House of Representatives after the Election Commission's certification of the February 8, 2026, general election results, confirming PT's third-place finish with exactly 74 seats—a sharp drop from 141 in 2023 due to rural voter shifts from its populist base, coalition turmoil with prior prime ministers ousted by courts, and a nationalist surge boosting Bhumjaithai to 194 seats. Pre-election polls underestimated conservative consolidation amid Cambodia border tensions, fragmenting progressive and centrist votes. Despite initial calls for recounts in select constituencies over irregularities, the Election Commission rejected major challenges, enabling Bhumjaithai-led coalition talks with PT. Realistic shifts would require successful court-mandated by-elections or nullifications in disputed areas, though none have materialized post-April certification.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Número de escaños ganados por el PT en las elecciones legislativas de Tailandia de 2026?
¿Número de escaños ganados por el PT en las elecciones legislativas de Tailandia de 2026?
110+ <1%
$367,424 Vol.
$367,424 Vol.
8 feb 2026
110+
<1%
110+ <1%
$367,424 Vol.
$367,424 Vol.
8 feb 2026
110+
$196,937 Vol.
<1%
The Thai House of Representatives was dissolved on December 12, 2025, triggering a snap legislative election within 45–60 days to elect members of the Thai House of Representatives (Sapha Phuthaen Ratsadon).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Pheu Thai Party (PT) in the Thai House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 Thai legislative election.
This market will resolve based solely on the number of seats won by the Pheu Thai Party (PT), and not on any coalition, alliance, or governing arrangement of which it may be a part.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Thai government, specifically the Thai Election Commission.Trader consensus overwhelmingly prices Pheu Thai Party (PT) at 70–79 seats in Thailand's 500-member House of Representatives after the Election Commission's certification of the February 8, 2026, general election results, confirming PT's third-place finish with exactly 74 seats—a sharp drop from 141 in 2023 due to rural voter shifts from its populist base, coalition turmoil with prior prime ministers ousted by courts, and a nationalist surge boosting Bhumjaithai to 194 seats. Pre-election polls underestimated conservative consolidation amid Cambodia border tensions, fragmenting progressive and centrist votes. Despite initial calls for recounts in select constituencies over irregularities, the Election Commission rejected major challenges, enabling Bhumjaithai-led coalition talks with PT. Realistic shifts would require successful court-mandated by-elections or nullifications in disputed areas, though none have materialized post-April certification.
The Thai House of Representatives was dissolved on December 12, 2025, triggering a snap legislative election within 45–60 days to elect members of the Thai House of Representatives (Sapha Phuthaen Ratsadon).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Pheu Thai Party (PT) in the Thai House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 Thai legislative election.
This market will resolve based solely on the number of seats won by the Pheu Thai Party (PT), and not on any coalition, alliance, or governing arrangement of which it may be a part.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Thai government, specifically the Thai Election Commission.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Pheu Thai Party (PT) in the Thai House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 Thai legislative election.
This market will resolve based solely on the number of seats won by the Pheu Thai Party (PT), and not on any coalition, alliance, or governing arrangement of which it may be a part.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Thai government, specifically the Thai Election Commission.
Mercado abierto: Jan 26, 2026, 5:11 PM ET
Volumen
$367,424Fecha de finalización
8 feb 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 26, 2026, 5:11 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resultado propuesto: No
Disputado
Resultado propuesto: No
Disputado
Revisión final
The Thai House of Representatives was dissolved on December 12, 2025, triggering a snap legislative election within 45–60 days to elect members of the Thai House of Representatives (Sapha Phuthaen Ratsadon).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Pheu Thai Party (PT) in the Thai House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 Thai legislative election.
This market will resolve based solely on the number of seats won by the Pheu Thai Party (PT), and not on any coalition, alliance, or governing arrangement of which it may be a part.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Thai government, specifically the Thai Election Commission.Trader consensus overwhelmingly prices Pheu Thai Party (PT) at 70–79 seats in Thailand's 500-member House of Representatives after the Election Commission's certification of the February 8, 2026, general election results, confirming PT's third-place finish with exactly 74 seats—a sharp drop from 141 in 2023 due to rural voter shifts from its populist base, coalition turmoil with prior prime ministers ousted by courts, and a nationalist surge boosting Bhumjaithai to 194 seats. Pre-election polls underestimated conservative consolidation amid Cambodia border tensions, fragmenting progressive and centrist votes. Despite initial calls for recounts in select constituencies over irregularities, the Election Commission rejected major challenges, enabling Bhumjaithai-led coalition talks with PT. Realistic shifts would require successful court-mandated by-elections or nullifications in disputed areas, though none have materialized post-April certification.
The Thai House of Representatives was dissolved on December 12, 2025, triggering a snap legislative election within 45–60 days to elect members of the Thai House of Representatives (Sapha Phuthaen Ratsadon).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Pheu Thai Party (PT) in the Thai House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 Thai legislative election.
This market will resolve based solely on the number of seats won by the Pheu Thai Party (PT), and not on any coalition, alliance, or governing arrangement of which it may be a part.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Thai government, specifically the Thai Election Commission.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Pheu Thai Party (PT) in the Thai House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 Thai legislative election.
This market will resolve based solely on the number of seats won by the Pheu Thai Party (PT), and not on any coalition, alliance, or governing arrangement of which it may be a part.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Thai government, specifically the Thai Election Commission.
Volumen
$367,424Fecha de finalización
8 feb 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 26, 2026, 5:11 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resultado propuesto: No
Disputado
Resultado propuesto: No
Disputado
Revisión final
Trader consensus overwhelmingly prices Pheu Thai Party (PT) at 70–79 seats in Thailand's 500-member House of Representatives after the Election Commission's certification of the February 8, 2026, general election results, confirming PT's third-place finish with exactly 74 seats—a sharp drop from 141 in 2023 due to rural voter shifts from its populist base, coalition turmoil with prior prime ministers ousted by courts, and a nationalist surge boosting Bhumjaithai to 194 seats. Pre-election polls underestimated conservative consolidation amid Cambodia border tensions, fragmenting progressive and centrist votes. Despite initial calls for recounts in select constituencies over irregularities, the Election Commission rejected major challenges, enabling Bhumjaithai-led coalition talks with PT. Realistic shifts would require successful court-mandated by-elections or nullifications in disputed areas, though none have materialized post-April certification.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes