Trader consensus has locked in a 99.4% implied probability for Noah Kahan's The Great Divide surpassing 250,000 first-week album equivalent units, propelled by Hits Daily Double's midweek projections of 335,000 total units—including 152,000 pure sales—fueled by explosive 43 million first-day global Spotify streams across all 17 tracks and robust physical sales momentum. Building on the title track's prior chart-topping success on Alternative Airplay and Hot Rock charts, plus strong fan-voted favorite new music status on Billboard polls, the indie-folk frontrunner eyes a Billboard 200 debut at No. 1. Realistic upsets would require an improbable late-week sales plunge or streaming drop-off before the April 30 tracking close, defying current trajectory.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoNoah Kahan 'The Great Divide' First Week Album Sales?
Noah Kahan 'The Great Divide' First Week Album Sales?
250k+ 99.5%
125k-150k 1.0%
<125k <1%
150k-175k <1%
$10,705 Vol.
$10,705 Vol.
1 may 2026
<125k
<1%
125k-150k
1%
150k-175k
<1%
175k-200k
<1%
200k-225k
<1%
225k-250k
<1%
250k+
100%
250k+ 99.5%
125k-150k 1.0%
<125k <1%
150k-175k <1%
$10,705 Vol.
$10,705 Vol.
1 may 2026
<125k
$1,065 Vol.
<1%
125k-150k
$973 Vol.
1%
150k-175k
$857 Vol.
<1%
175k-200k
$738 Vol.
<1%
200k-225k
$794 Vol.
<1%
225k-250k
$776 Vol.
<1%
250k+
$5,502 Vol.
100%
Noah Kahan's new album 'The Great Divide' is scheduled to be released on April 24, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for Noah Kahan's album 'The Great Divide', according to Hits Daily Double.
If the album 'The Great Divide' has not been released by May 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album’s debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Trader consensus has locked in a 99.4% implied probability for Noah Kahan's The Great Divide surpassing 250,000 first-week album equivalent units, propelled by Hits Daily Double's midweek projections of 335,000 total units—including 152,000 pure sales—fueled by explosive 43 million first-day global Spotify streams across all 17 tracks and robust physical sales momentum. Building on the title track's prior chart-topping success on Alternative Airplay and Hot Rock charts, plus strong fan-voted favorite new music status on Billboard polls, the indie-folk frontrunner eyes a Billboard 200 debut at No. 1. Realistic upsets would require an improbable late-week sales plunge or streaming drop-off before the April 30 tracking close, defying current trajectory.
Noah Kahan's new album 'The Great Divide' is scheduled to be released on April 24, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for Noah Kahan's album 'The Great Divide', according to Hits Daily Double.
If the album 'The Great Divide' has not been released by May 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album’s debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for Noah Kahan's album 'The Great Divide', according to Hits Daily Double.
If the album 'The Great Divide' has not been released by May 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album’s debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Mercado abierto: Apr 7, 2026, 6:10 PM ET
Volumen
$10,705Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 7, 2026, 6:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Noah Kahan's new album 'The Great Divide' is scheduled to be released on April 24, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for Noah Kahan's album 'The Great Divide', according to Hits Daily Double.
If the album 'The Great Divide' has not been released by May 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album’s debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Trader consensus has locked in a 99.4% implied probability for Noah Kahan's The Great Divide surpassing 250,000 first-week album equivalent units, propelled by Hits Daily Double's midweek projections of 335,000 total units—including 152,000 pure sales—fueled by explosive 43 million first-day global Spotify streams across all 17 tracks and robust physical sales momentum. Building on the title track's prior chart-topping success on Alternative Airplay and Hot Rock charts, plus strong fan-voted favorite new music status on Billboard polls, the indie-folk frontrunner eyes a Billboard 200 debut at No. 1. Realistic upsets would require an improbable late-week sales plunge or streaming drop-off before the April 30 tracking close, defying current trajectory.
Noah Kahan's new album 'The Great Divide' is scheduled to be released on April 24, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for Noah Kahan's album 'The Great Divide', according to Hits Daily Double.
If the album 'The Great Divide' has not been released by May 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album’s debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for Noah Kahan's album 'The Great Divide', according to Hits Daily Double.
If the album 'The Great Divide' has not been released by May 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album’s debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Volumen
$10,705Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 7, 2026, 6:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus has locked in a 99.4% implied probability for Noah Kahan's The Great Divide surpassing 250,000 first-week album equivalent units, propelled by Hits Daily Double's midweek projections of 335,000 total units—including 152,000 pure sales—fueled by explosive 43 million first-day global Spotify streams across all 17 tracks and robust physical sales momentum. Building on the title track's prior chart-topping success on Alternative Airplay and Hot Rock charts, plus strong fan-voted favorite new music status on Billboard polls, the indie-folk frontrunner eyes a Billboard 200 debut at No. 1. Realistic upsets would require an improbable late-week sales plunge or streaming drop-off before the April 30 tracking close, defying current trajectory.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes