Major artist releases and sustained streaming performance currently shape trader views on 2026 Billboard Hot 100 #1 outcomes. Ella Langley’s “Choosin’ Texas” leads with a 10-week run, while recent debuts by Ariana Grande’s “Hate That I Made You Love Me” and tracks from Drake highlight how comeback singles and high streaming volume can quickly elevate probabilities. Ten artists have already reached the summit this year, including Taylor Swift and Bruno Mars, underscoring the advantage for established acts with strong catalog momentum. Key summer catalysts include anticipated albums from Olivia Rodrigo, Ariana Grande, and Madonna, whose promotional pushes and first-week numbers often trigger sharp market shifts before year-end chart lock.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Qué artistas tendrán una canción número1 de Billboard este año?
¿Qué artistas tendrán una canción número1 de Billboard este año?
$156,413 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Mariah Carey
90%
Peso Pluma
56%
Lil Baby
43%
Morgan Wallen
44%
Zach Bryan
40%
Luke Combs
40%
Billie Eilish
34%
Kendrick Lamar
30%
Travis Scott
28%
Rihanna
37%
SZA
25%
Ed Sheeran
22%
Future
20%
Frank Ocean
19%
The Weeknd
24%
A$AP Rocky
10%
Jack Harlow
7%
Doja Cat
6%
Kanye West
5%
Playboi Carti
44%
Tyler, The Creator
46%
Post Malone
51%
Sabrina Carpenter
49%
$156,413 Vol.
Mariah Carey
$1,899 Vol.
90%
Peso Pluma
$0 Vol.
56%
Lil Baby
$210 Vol.
43%
Morgan Wallen
$352 Vol.
44%
Zach Bryan
$854 Vol.
40%
Luke Combs
$2,451 Vol.
40%
Billie Eilish
$39,756 Vol.
34%
Kendrick Lamar
$4,185 Vol.
30%
Travis Scott
$4,629 Vol.
28%
Rihanna
$700 Vol.
37%
SZA
$360 Vol.
25%
Ed Sheeran
$539 Vol.
22%
Future
$6,774 Vol.
20%
Frank Ocean
$8,849 Vol.
19%
The Weeknd
$4,882 Vol.
24%
A$AP Rocky
$1,673 Vol.
10%
Jack Harlow
$8,715 Vol.
7%
Doja Cat
$10,184 Vol.
6%
Kanye West
$747 Vol.
5%
Playboi Carti
$7,383 Vol.
44%
Tyler, The Creator
$272 Vol.
46%
Post Malone
$145 Vol.
51%
Sabrina Carpenter
$249 Vol.
49%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any song by the listed artist is the number 1 song in any official weekly Billboard Hot 100 songs chart released for a data collection reference period entirely between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any song released with the listed artist as a primary artist will count, including songs released before 2026. If a song is released jointly by multiple artists credited equally as primary artists, it will count for all of them. Features, writing credits, production credits, or other forms of non-primary contributions to a song will not count. Artist attribution will be determined solely by the artists displayed by Billboard on the relevant chart.
Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data collected in the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”. The first Billboard Hot 100 song chart relevant to this market will be the chart titled “Week of January 17, 2026” for a data collection reference period of January 2-8, 2026. The final Billboard Hot 100 song chart relevant to this market will be the Chart titled “Week of January 9, 2027” for a data collection reference period of December 25-31, 2026.
Updates or revisions made within this market’s timeframe to the #1-ranked song on previously published Billboard Hot 100 charts will be considered; however, such updates will not disqualify a previously published Billboard Hot 100 #1 song from counting. If a Billboard Hot 100 #1 song is revised after initial publication, both the originally published #1 song and the revised #1 song will count for this market. Updates or revisions made after the release of the final Billboard Hot 100 song chart relevant to this market will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be the weekly Billboard Hot 100 songs charts published each week at https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/ and through other official Billboard channels.Major artist releases and sustained streaming performance currently shape trader views on 2026 Billboard Hot 100 #1 outcomes. Ella Langley’s “Choosin’ Texas” leads with a 10-week run, while recent debuts by Ariana Grande’s “Hate That I Made You Love Me” and tracks from Drake highlight how comeback singles and high streaming volume can quickly elevate probabilities. Ten artists have already reached the summit this year, including Taylor Swift and Bruno Mars, underscoring the advantage for established acts with strong catalog momentum. Key summer catalysts include anticipated albums from Olivia Rodrigo, Ariana Grande, and Madonna, whose promotional pushes and first-week numbers often trigger sharp market shifts before year-end chart lock.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any song by the listed artist is the number 1 song in any official weekly Billboard Hot 100 songs chart released for a data collection reference period entirely between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any song released with the listed artist as a primary artist will count, including songs released before 2026. If a song is released jointly by multiple artists credited equally as primary artists, it will count for all of them. Features, writing credits, production credits, or other forms of non-primary contributions to a song will not count. Artist attribution will be determined solely by the artists displayed by Billboard on the relevant chart.
Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data collected in the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”. The first Billboard Hot 100 song chart relevant to this market will be the chart titled “Week of January 17, 2026” for a data collection reference period of January 2-8, 2026. The final Billboard Hot 100 song chart relevant to this market will be the Chart titled “Week of January 9, 2027” for a data collection reference period of December 25-31, 2026.
Updates or revisions made within this market’s timeframe to the #1-ranked song on previously published Billboard Hot 100 charts will be considered; however, such updates will not disqualify a previously published Billboard Hot 100 #1 song from counting. If a Billboard Hot 100 #1 song is revised after initial publication, both the originally published #1 song and the revised #1 song will count for this market. Updates or revisions made after the release of the final Billboard Hot 100 song chart relevant to this market will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be the weekly Billboard Hot 100 songs charts published each week at https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/ and through other official Billboard channels.
Any song released with the listed artist as a primary artist will count, including songs released before 2026. If a song is released jointly by multiple artists credited equally as primary artists, it will count for all of them. Features, writing credits, production credits, or other forms of non-primary contributions to a song will not count. Artist attribution will be determined solely by the artists displayed by Billboard on the relevant chart.
Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data collected in the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”. The first Billboard Hot 100 song chart relevant to this market will be the chart titled “Week of January 17, 2026” for a data collection reference period of January 2-8, 2026. The final Billboard Hot 100 song chart relevant to this market will be the Chart titled “Week of January 9, 2027” for a data collection reference period of December 25-31, 2026.
Updates or revisions made within this market’s timeframe to the #1-ranked song on previously published Billboard Hot 100 charts will be considered; however, such updates will not disqualify a previously published Billboard Hot 100 #1 song from counting. If a Billboard Hot 100 #1 song is revised after initial publication, both the originally published #1 song and the revised #1 song will count for this market. Updates or revisions made after the release of the final Billboard Hot 100 song chart relevant to this market will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be the weekly Billboard Hot 100 songs charts published each week at https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/ and through other official Billboard channels.
Mercado abierto: Jan 9, 2026, 4:29 PM ET
Volumen
$156,413Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 9, 2026, 4:29 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any song by the listed artist is the number 1 song in any official weekly Billboard Hot 100 songs chart released for a data collection reference period entirely between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any song released with the listed artist as a primary artist will count, including songs released before 2026. If a song is released jointly by multiple artists credited equally as primary artists, it will count for all of them. Features, writing credits, production credits, or other forms of non-primary contributions to a song will not count. Artist attribution will be determined solely by the artists displayed by Billboard on the relevant chart.
Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data collected in the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”. The first Billboard Hot 100 song chart relevant to this market will be the chart titled “Week of January 17, 2026” for a data collection reference period of January 2-8, 2026. The final Billboard Hot 100 song chart relevant to this market will be the Chart titled “Week of January 9, 2027” for a data collection reference period of December 25-31, 2026.
Updates or revisions made within this market’s timeframe to the #1-ranked song on previously published Billboard Hot 100 charts will be considered; however, such updates will not disqualify a previously published Billboard Hot 100 #1 song from counting. If a Billboard Hot 100 #1 song is revised after initial publication, both the originally published #1 song and the revised #1 song will count for this market. Updates or revisions made after the release of the final Billboard Hot 100 song chart relevant to this market will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be the weekly Billboard Hot 100 songs charts published each week at https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/ and through other official Billboard channels.Major artist releases and sustained streaming performance currently shape trader views on 2026 Billboard Hot 100 #1 outcomes. Ella Langley’s “Choosin’ Texas” leads with a 10-week run, while recent debuts by Ariana Grande’s “Hate That I Made You Love Me” and tracks from Drake highlight how comeback singles and high streaming volume can quickly elevate probabilities. Ten artists have already reached the summit this year, including Taylor Swift and Bruno Mars, underscoring the advantage for established acts with strong catalog momentum. Key summer catalysts include anticipated albums from Olivia Rodrigo, Ariana Grande, and Madonna, whose promotional pushes and first-week numbers often trigger sharp market shifts before year-end chart lock.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any song by the listed artist is the number 1 song in any official weekly Billboard Hot 100 songs chart released for a data collection reference period entirely between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any song released with the listed artist as a primary artist will count, including songs released before 2026. If a song is released jointly by multiple artists credited equally as primary artists, it will count for all of them. Features, writing credits, production credits, or other forms of non-primary contributions to a song will not count. Artist attribution will be determined solely by the artists displayed by Billboard on the relevant chart.
Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data collected in the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”. The first Billboard Hot 100 song chart relevant to this market will be the chart titled “Week of January 17, 2026” for a data collection reference period of January 2-8, 2026. The final Billboard Hot 100 song chart relevant to this market will be the Chart titled “Week of January 9, 2027” for a data collection reference period of December 25-31, 2026.
Updates or revisions made within this market’s timeframe to the #1-ranked song on previously published Billboard Hot 100 charts will be considered; however, such updates will not disqualify a previously published Billboard Hot 100 #1 song from counting. If a Billboard Hot 100 #1 song is revised after initial publication, both the originally published #1 song and the revised #1 song will count for this market. Updates or revisions made after the release of the final Billboard Hot 100 song chart relevant to this market will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be the weekly Billboard Hot 100 songs charts published each week at https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/ and through other official Billboard channels.
Any song released with the listed artist as a primary artist will count, including songs released before 2026. If a song is released jointly by multiple artists credited equally as primary artists, it will count for all of them. Features, writing credits, production credits, or other forms of non-primary contributions to a song will not count. Artist attribution will be determined solely by the artists displayed by Billboard on the relevant chart.
Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data collected in the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”. The first Billboard Hot 100 song chart relevant to this market will be the chart titled “Week of January 17, 2026” for a data collection reference period of January 2-8, 2026. The final Billboard Hot 100 song chart relevant to this market will be the Chart titled “Week of January 9, 2027” for a data collection reference period of December 25-31, 2026.
Updates or revisions made within this market’s timeframe to the #1-ranked song on previously published Billboard Hot 100 charts will be considered; however, such updates will not disqualify a previously published Billboard Hot 100 #1 song from counting. If a Billboard Hot 100 #1 song is revised after initial publication, both the originally published #1 song and the revised #1 song will count for this market. Updates or revisions made after the release of the final Billboard Hot 100 song chart relevant to this market will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be the weekly Billboard Hot 100 songs charts published each week at https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/ and through other official Billboard channels.
Volumen
$156,413Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 9, 2026, 4:29 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Major artist releases and sustained streaming performance currently shape trader views on 2026 Billboard Hot 100 #1 outcomes. Ella Langley’s “Choosin’ Texas” leads with a 10-week run, while recent debuts by Ariana Grande’s “Hate That I Made You Love Me” and tracks from Drake highlight how comeback singles and high streaming volume can quickly elevate probabilities. Ten artists have already reached the summit this year, including Taylor Swift and Bruno Mars, underscoring the advantage for established acts with strong catalog momentum. Key summer catalysts include anticipated albums from Olivia Rodrigo, Ariana Grande, and Madonna, whose promotional pushes and first-week numbers often trigger sharp market shifts before year-end chart lock.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes