Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 89.5% implied probability to Netflix (NFLX) shares closing the week of April 27 in the $90-$100 range, driven by the stock's tight trading band of $90.77-$94.22 over the past session amid subdued volume of 41 million shares. This positioning stems from stabilization after Q1 2026 earnings on April 16, where 16% revenue growth met estimates but Q2 guidance disappointed—$12.57 billion versus $12.64 billion consensus and EPS of $0.78 below expectations—prompting a 9.7%-10% share price plunge. Mixed analyst sentiments and absence of fresh catalysts have capped upside, pricing out higher bins while low-probability tails reflect tail risks from broader market volatility or sector headwinds ahead of key economic releases.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$90-$100 91.8%
$70-$80 14.9%
$80-$90 6.5%
$100-$110 1.1%
NUEVO
NUEVO
1 may 2026
<$50
<1%
$50-$60
<1%
$60-$70
<1%
$70-$80
15%
$80-$90
6%
$90-$100
92%
$100-$110
1%
$110-$120
<1%
$120-$130
<1%
$130-$140
<1%
>$140
1%
$90-$100 91.8%
$70-$80 14.9%
$80-$90 6.5%
$100-$110 1.1%
NUEVO
NUEVO
1 may 2026
<$50
$762 Vol.
<1%
$50-$60
$945 Vol.
<1%
$60-$70
$313 Vol.
<1%
$70-$80
$258 Vol.
15%
$80-$90
$29 Vol.
6%
$90-$100
$27 Vol.
92%
$100-$110
$32 Vol.
1%
$110-$120
$157 Vol.
<1%
$120-$130
$249 Vol.
<1%
$130-$140
$611 Vol.
<1%
>$140
$773 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Netflix (NFLX) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Netflix (NFLX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/history, published under "Historical Prices."Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 89.5% implied probability to Netflix (NFLX) shares closing the week of April 27 in the $90-$100 range, driven by the stock's tight trading band of $90.77-$94.22 over the past session amid subdued volume of 41 million shares. This positioning stems from stabilization after Q1 2026 earnings on April 16, where 16% revenue growth met estimates but Q2 guidance disappointed—$12.57 billion versus $12.64 billion consensus and EPS of $0.78 below expectations—prompting a 9.7%-10% share price plunge. Mixed analyst sentiments and absence of fresh catalysts have capped upside, pricing out higher bins while low-probability tails reflect tail risks from broader market volatility or sector headwinds ahead of key economic releases.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Netflix (NFLX) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Netflix (NFLX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Netflix (NFLX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Mercado abierto: Apr 24, 2026, 6:02 PM ET
Volumen
$4,155Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 24, 2026, 6:02 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Netflix (NFLX) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Netflix (NFLX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/history, published under "Historical Prices."Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 89.5% implied probability to Netflix (NFLX) shares closing the week of April 27 in the $90-$100 range, driven by the stock's tight trading band of $90.77-$94.22 over the past session amid subdued volume of 41 million shares. This positioning stems from stabilization after Q1 2026 earnings on April 16, where 16% revenue growth met estimates but Q2 guidance disappointed—$12.57 billion versus $12.64 billion consensus and EPS of $0.78 below expectations—prompting a 9.7%-10% share price plunge. Mixed analyst sentiments and absence of fresh catalysts have capped upside, pricing out higher bins while low-probability tails reflect tail risks from broader market volatility or sector headwinds ahead of key economic releases.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Netflix (NFLX) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Netflix (NFLX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Netflix (NFLX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Volumen
$4,155Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 24, 2026, 6:02 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 89.5% implied probability to Netflix (NFLX) shares closing the week of April 27 in the $90-$100 range, driven by the stock's tight trading band of $90.77-$94.22 over the past session amid subdued volume of 41 million shares. This positioning stems from stabilization after Q1 2026 earnings on April 16, where 16% revenue growth met estimates but Q2 guidance disappointed—$12.57 billion versus $12.64 billion consensus and EPS of $0.78 below expectations—prompting a 9.7%-10% share price plunge. Mixed analyst sentiments and absence of fresh catalysts have capped upside, pricing out higher bins while low-probability tails reflect tail risks from broader market volatility or sector headwinds ahead of key economic releases.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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