Trader consensus prices José Mourinho at 66% implied probability as Real Madrid's next permanent manager, propelled by reports over the past 48 hours that club president Florentino Pérez favors the Portuguese coach—currently at Benfica with a modest €3 million break clause—to replace under-fire head coach Álvaro Arbeloa. Arbeloa, promoted internally from Castilla in January after Xabi Alonso's dismissal, sits at 49.5% amid a trophyless 2025-26 campaign, including a Champions League quarterfinal exit to Bayern Munich earlier this month, fueling doubts over his Bernabéu tenure despite some internal support for continuity. Jürgen Klopp's 16% reflects availability post-Liverpool and tactical appeal, while Julian Nagelsmann at 10% gains from Germany national team links, as Pérez eyes a proven winner to revive La Liga and European ambitions.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoJose Mourinho 64%
Jurgen Klopp 16%
Mauricio Pochettino 6.0%
Luis Enrique 5.4%
$51,882 Vol.
$51,882 Vol.
Jose Mourinho
64%
Jurgen Klopp
16%
Mauricio Pochettino
6%
Luis Enrique
5%
Enzo Maresca
4%
Zinedine Zidane
4%
Lionel Scaloni
3%
Didier Deschamps
3%
Unai Emery
2%
Massimiliano Allegri
1%
Julian Nagelsmann
11%
Thomas Tuchel
1%
Robert De Zerbi
<1%
Andoni Iraola
<1%
Mikel Arteta
<1%
Oliver Glasner
<1%
Jose Mourinho 64%
Jurgen Klopp 16%
Mauricio Pochettino 6.0%
Luis Enrique 5.4%
$51,882 Vol.
$51,882 Vol.
Jose Mourinho
64%
Jurgen Klopp
16%
Mauricio Pochettino
6%
Luis Enrique
5%
Enzo Maresca
4%
Zinedine Zidane
4%
Lionel Scaloni
3%
Didier Deschamps
3%
Unai Emery
2%
Massimiliano Allegri
1%
Julian Nagelsmann
11%
Thomas Tuchel
1%
Robert De Zerbi
<1%
Andoni Iraola
<1%
Mikel Arteta
<1%
Oliver Glasner
<1%
If no permanent manager is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other."
Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution.
An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Real Madrid; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercado abierto: Feb 17, 2026, 5:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no permanent manager is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other."
Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution.
An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Real Madrid; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices José Mourinho at 66% implied probability as Real Madrid's next permanent manager, propelled by reports over the past 48 hours that club president Florentino Pérez favors the Portuguese coach—currently at Benfica with a modest €3 million break clause—to replace under-fire head coach Álvaro Arbeloa. Arbeloa, promoted internally from Castilla in January after Xabi Alonso's dismissal, sits at 49.5% amid a trophyless 2025-26 campaign, including a Champions League quarterfinal exit to Bayern Munich earlier this month, fueling doubts over his Bernabéu tenure despite some internal support for continuity. Jürgen Klopp's 16% reflects availability post-Liverpool and tactical appeal, while Julian Nagelsmann at 10% gains from Germany national team links, as Pérez eyes a proven winner to revive La Liga and European ambitions.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes