Trader consensus prices the Spurs at 50% implied probability to win their Western Conference semifinals series against the Timberwolves, reflecting a razor-thin balance despite San Antonio's superior 62-20 regular-season record, home-court advantage, and near-full health led by Victor Wembanyama's return from first-round concussion protocol. Minnesota advanced past the Nuggets in five games amid devastating injuries—Anthony Edwards sidelined week-to-week with a left knee bone bruise/hyperextension, Donte DiVincenzo out for the season via Achilles tear, and others like Ayo Dosunmu (calf) questionable—yet Jaden McDaniels erupted for a playoff career-high 32 points in their clincher, showcasing defensive depth with Rudy Gobert anchoring the paint. Spurs inexperience in playoffs since 2017 tempers enthusiasm after their Blazers upset; Edwards' potential Game 2 return or further Spurs ailments could decisively shift odds.