Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an implied 48% probability for Microsoft (MSFT) shares closing the week of April 27 in the $380-$390 range, reflecting pre-earnings caution amid a recent stock slide and volatile price action. Shares surged to $433 midweek before retreating over 25% from 52-week highs near $555, dipping to $415 on profit-taking and tech sector rotation, then stabilizing around $425 by Friday's close—yet traders anticipate further softening into the $370-$390 cluster due to uncertainty over fiscal Q3 results due April 29. Expectations center on EPS of $4.04-$4.07 and revenue near $81.5 billion, with focus on Azure cloud growth and OpenAI partnership dynamics amid elevated AI capex. Analyst price targets average $570, but near-term positioning highlights supports at $395-$411 ahead of the earnings catalyst.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$400-$410 29%
$390-$400 26%
$410-$420 26%
$420-$430 23%
NUEVO
NUEVO
1 may 2026
< $370
11%
$370-$380
18%
$380-$390
19%
$390-$400
26%
$400-$410
25%
$410-$420
26%
$420-$430
23%
$430-$440
12%
$440-$450
13%
$450-$460
6%
>$460
11%
$400-$410 29%
$390-$400 26%
$410-$420 26%
$420-$430 23%
NUEVO
NUEVO
1 may 2026
< $370
$17 Vol.
11%
$370-$380
$0 Vol.
18%
$380-$390
$0 Vol.
19%
$390-$400
$0 Vol.
26%
$400-$410
$7 Vol.
25%
$410-$420
$0 Vol.
26%
$420-$430
$0 Vol.
23%
$430-$440
$1 Vol.
12%
$440-$450
$0 Vol.
13%
$450-$460
$0 Vol.
6%
>$460
$0 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Microsoft (MSFT) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an implied 48% probability for Microsoft (MSFT) shares closing the week of April 27 in the $380-$390 range, reflecting pre-earnings caution amid a recent stock slide and volatile price action. Shares surged to $433 midweek before retreating over 25% from 52-week highs near $555, dipping to $415 on profit-taking and tech sector rotation, then stabilizing around $425 by Friday's close—yet traders anticipate further softening into the $370-$390 cluster due to uncertainty over fiscal Q3 results due April 29. Expectations center on EPS of $4.04-$4.07 and revenue near $81.5 billion, with focus on Azure cloud growth and OpenAI partnership dynamics amid elevated AI capex. Analyst price targets average $570, but near-term positioning highlights supports at $395-$411 ahead of the earnings catalyst.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Microsoft (MSFT) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Mercado abierto: Apr 24, 2026, 6:06 PM ET
Volumen
$25Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 24, 2026, 6:06 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Microsoft (MSFT) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an implied 48% probability for Microsoft (MSFT) shares closing the week of April 27 in the $380-$390 range, reflecting pre-earnings caution amid a recent stock slide and volatile price action. Shares surged to $433 midweek before retreating over 25% from 52-week highs near $555, dipping to $415 on profit-taking and tech sector rotation, then stabilizing around $425 by Friday's close—yet traders anticipate further softening into the $370-$390 cluster due to uncertainty over fiscal Q3 results due April 29. Expectations center on EPS of $4.04-$4.07 and revenue near $81.5 billion, with focus on Azure cloud growth and OpenAI partnership dynamics amid elevated AI capex. Analyst price targets average $570, but near-term positioning highlights supports at $395-$411 ahead of the earnings catalyst.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Microsoft (MSFT) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Volumen
$25Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 24, 2026, 6:06 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an implied 48% probability for Microsoft (MSFT) shares closing the week of April 27 in the $380-$390 range, reflecting pre-earnings caution amid a recent stock slide and volatile price action. Shares surged to $433 midweek before retreating over 25% from 52-week highs near $555, dipping to $415 on profit-taking and tech sector rotation, then stabilizing around $425 by Friday's close—yet traders anticipate further softening into the $370-$390 cluster due to uncertainty over fiscal Q3 results due April 29. Expectations center on EPS of $4.04-$4.07 and revenue near $81.5 billion, with focus on Azure cloud growth and OpenAI partnership dynamics amid elevated AI capex. Analyst price targets average $570, but near-term positioning highlights supports at $395-$411 ahead of the earnings catalyst.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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