Kyle Schwarber leads trader consensus at 49% implied probability for MLB home runs leader after blasting 11 early-season long balls, closely trailed by Elly De La Cruz at 43% with 10 homers amid a scorching Reds hot streak including multi-HR games last week. The race stays tight with a cluster of sluggers at 10-12 HR—Yordan Alvarez and Aaron Judge tied at 12, James Wood's rookie power surge at 10—reflecting volatile small-sample paces after roughly 30 games. Favorable ballparks like Citizens Bank and Great American, plus soft remaining schedules against middling rotations, sustain contention, while health, barrel rates, and platoon splits will dictate separation over 132 games left in the regular season.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoAaron Judge 34%
Munetaka Murakami 21%
Yordan Alvarez 12.4%
Shohei Ohtani 8%
NUEVO
NUEVO
11 oct 2026
Aaron Judge
34%
Munetaka Murakami
21%
Yordan Alvarez
12%
Shohei Ohtani
8%
James Wood
5%
Junior Caminero
5%
Cal Raleigh
3%
Elly De La Cruz
3%
Brandon Lowe
3%
Matt Olson
2%
Eugenio Suarez
2%
Ben Rice
2%
CJ Abrams
2%
Shea Langeliers
2%
Jordan Walker
2%
Sal Stewart
2%
Nick Kurtz
2%
George Springer
1%
Mike Trout
1%
Rafael Devers
1%
Giancarlo Stanton
1%
Manny Machado
1%
Juan Soto
1%
Pete Alonso
1%
Kyle Schwarber
43%
Aaron Judge 34%
Munetaka Murakami 21%
Yordan Alvarez 12.4%
Shohei Ohtani 8%
NUEVO
NUEVO
11 oct 2026
Aaron Judge
$21 Vol.
34%
Munetaka Murakami
$121 Vol.
21%
Yordan Alvarez
$5 Vol.
12%
Shohei Ohtani
$26 Vol.
8%
James Wood
$5 Vol.
5%
Junior Caminero
$5 Vol.
5%
Cal Raleigh
$5 Vol.
3%
Elly De La Cruz
$5 Vol.
3%
Brandon Lowe
$5 Vol.
3%
Matt Olson
$5 Vol.
2%
Eugenio Suarez
$5 Vol.
2%
Ben Rice
$5 Vol.
2%
CJ Abrams
$5 Vol.
2%
Shea Langeliers
$5 Vol.
2%
Jordan Walker
$5 Vol.
2%
Sal Stewart
$5 Vol.
2%
Nick Kurtz
$5 Vol.
2%
George Springer
$27 Vol.
1%
Mike Trout
$5 Vol.
1%
Rafael Devers
$5 Vol.
1%
Giancarlo Stanton
$5 Vol.
1%
Manny Machado
$5 Vol.
1%
Juan Soto
$5 Vol.
1%
Pete Alonso
$5 Vol.
1%
Kyle Schwarber
$5 Vol.
43%
This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kyle Schwarber leads trader consensus at 49% implied probability for MLB home runs leader after blasting 11 early-season long balls, closely trailed by Elly De La Cruz at 43% with 10 homers amid a scorching Reds hot streak including multi-HR games last week. The race stays tight with a cluster of sluggers at 10-12 HR—Yordan Alvarez and Aaron Judge tied at 12, James Wood's rookie power surge at 10—reflecting volatile small-sample paces after roughly 30 games. Favorable ballparks like Citizens Bank and Great American, plus soft remaining schedules against middling rotations, sustain contention, while health, barrel rates, and platoon splits will dictate separation over 132 games left in the regular season.
This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Apr 22, 2026, 12:12 PM ET
Volumen
$300Fecha de finalización
28 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 22, 2026, 12:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kyle Schwarber leads trader consensus at 49% implied probability for MLB home runs leader after blasting 11 early-season long balls, closely trailed by Elly De La Cruz at 43% with 10 homers amid a scorching Reds hot streak including multi-HR games last week. The race stays tight with a cluster of sluggers at 10-12 HR—Yordan Alvarez and Aaron Judge tied at 12, James Wood's rookie power surge at 10—reflecting volatile small-sample paces after roughly 30 games. Favorable ballparks like Citizens Bank and Great American, plus soft remaining schedules against middling rotations, sustain contention, while health, barrel rates, and platoon splits will dictate separation over 132 games left in the regular season.
This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$300Fecha de finalización
28 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 22, 2026, 12:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kyle Schwarber leads trader consensus at 49% implied probability for MLB home runs leader after blasting 11 early-season long balls, closely trailed by Elly De La Cruz at 43% with 10 homers amid a scorching Reds hot streak including multi-HR games last week. The race stays tight with a cluster of sluggers at 10-12 HR—Yordan Alvarez and Aaron Judge tied at 12, James Wood's rookie power surge at 10—reflecting volatile small-sample paces after roughly 30 games. Favorable ballparks like Citizens Bank and Great American, plus soft remaining schedules against middling rotations, sustain contention, while health, barrel rates, and platoon splits will dictate separation over 132 games left in the regular season.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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