**Four-homer games remain exceptionally rare in MLB, with only 21-22 instances across more than a century of play.** No such performance has occurred through mid-June 2026, even as power hitters like Kyle Schwarber and Yordan Alvarez pace the league with 24 home runs each. The 2025 season produced an unprecedented three examples—Eugenio Suárez, Nick Kurtz, and Schwarber—but that outlier year does not alter the long-term rate of roughly one every five to six seasons. **Trader pricing reflects this scarcity.** With roughly half the regular season remaining, the implied 25.5% probability for a 4-HR game accounts for elevated offensive environments and strong individual pace, while still weighting the historical barriers: specific matchup, ballpark, and pitching factors required for one player to reach four in nine innings. No confirmed roster or injury developments have materially shifted expectations for the power leaders.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoNUEVO
NUEVO
28 sep 2026
NUEVO
NUEVO
28 sep 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any player hits four or more home runs in a single game during the 2026 MLB regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Four home runs by a player in any length regular season game will count toward resolution. Inside-the-park home runs will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if it cannot be determined if a player hit four home runs in a single game within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Four-homer games remain exceptionally rare in MLB, with only 21-22 instances across more than a century of play.** No such performance has occurred through mid-June 2026, even as power hitters like Kyle Schwarber and Yordan Alvarez pace the league with 24 home runs each. The 2025 season produced an unprecedented three examples—Eugenio Suárez, Nick Kurtz, and Schwarber—but that outlier year does not alter the long-term rate of roughly one every five to six seasons.
**Trader pricing reflects this scarcity.** With roughly half the regular season remaining, the implied 25.5% probability for a 4-HR game accounts for elevated offensive environments and strong individual pace, while still weighting the historical barriers: specific matchup, ballpark, and pitching factors required for one player to reach four in nine innings. No confirmed roster or injury developments have materially shifted expectations for the power leaders.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any player hits four or more home runs in a single game during the 2026 MLB regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Four home runs by a player in any length regular season game will count toward resolution. Inside-the-park home runs will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if it cannot be determined if a player hit four home runs in a single game within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Four home runs by a player in any length regular season game will count toward resolution. Inside-the-park home runs will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if it cannot be determined if a player hit four home runs in a single game within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Apr 28, 2026, 7:03 PM ET
Volumen
$3Fecha de finalización
28 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 28, 2026, 7:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any player hits four or more home runs in a single game during the 2026 MLB regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Four home runs by a player in any length regular season game will count toward resolution. Inside-the-park home runs will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if it cannot be determined if a player hit four home runs in a single game within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Four-homer games remain exceptionally rare in MLB, with only 21-22 instances across more than a century of play.** No such performance has occurred through mid-June 2026, even as power hitters like Kyle Schwarber and Yordan Alvarez pace the league with 24 home runs each. The 2025 season produced an unprecedented three examples—Eugenio Suárez, Nick Kurtz, and Schwarber—but that outlier year does not alter the long-term rate of roughly one every five to six seasons.
**Trader pricing reflects this scarcity.** With roughly half the regular season remaining, the implied 25.5% probability for a 4-HR game accounts for elevated offensive environments and strong individual pace, while still weighting the historical barriers: specific matchup, ballpark, and pitching factors required for one player to reach four in nine innings. No confirmed roster or injury developments have materially shifted expectations for the power leaders.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any player hits four or more home runs in a single game during the 2026 MLB regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Four home runs by a player in any length regular season game will count toward resolution. Inside-the-park home runs will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if it cannot be determined if a player hit four home runs in a single game within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Four home runs by a player in any length regular season game will count toward resolution. Inside-the-park home runs will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if it cannot be determined if a player hit four home runs in a single game within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$3Fecha de finalización
28 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 28, 2026, 7:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Four-homer games remain exceptionally rare in MLB, with only 21-22 instances across more than a century of play.** No such performance has occurred through mid-June 2026, even as power hitters like Kyle Schwarber and Yordan Alvarez pace the league with 24 home runs each. The 2025 season produced an unprecedented three examples—Eugenio Suárez, Nick Kurtz, and Schwarber—but that outlier year does not alter the long-term rate of roughly one every five to six seasons. **Trader pricing reflects this scarcity.** With roughly half the regular season remaining, the implied 25.5% probability for a 4-HR game accounts for elevated offensive environments and strong individual pace, while still weighting the historical barriers: specific matchup, ballpark, and pitching factors required for one player to reach four in nine innings. No confirmed roster or injury developments have materially shifted expectations for the power leaders.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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