**MLB's 2026 season has yet to produce a four-home-run game through mid-June, consistent with the historical rarity of the feat—only 21 instances across more than a century of play.** Leading power hitters such as Kyle Schwarber and Yordan Alvarez top the home-run leaderboard with roughly two dozen long balls each, but individual outbursts remain constrained by pitching matchups, ballpark factors, and the low probability of facing the same pitcher multiple times under ideal conditions. Recent multi-homer performances, including several two-homer games in April, have not escalated to the four-homer threshold. With roughly half the schedule remaining and no widespread offensive surge or rule changes boosting home-run rates, trader consensus assigns the "No" outcome a 75.5% implied probability, reflecting both the event's scarcity and the absence of developments that would materially elevate its likelihood.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoNUEVO
NUEVO
28 sep 2026
NUEVO
NUEVO
28 sep 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any player hits four or more home runs in a single game during the 2026 MLB regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Four home runs by a player in any length regular season game will count toward resolution. Inside-the-park home runs will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if it cannot be determined if a player hit four home runs in a single game within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**MLB's 2026 season has yet to produce a four-home-run game through mid-June, consistent with the historical rarity of the feat—only 21 instances across more than a century of play.** Leading power hitters such as Kyle Schwarber and Yordan Alvarez top the home-run leaderboard with roughly two dozen long balls each, but individual outbursts remain constrained by pitching matchups, ballpark factors, and the low probability of facing the same pitcher multiple times under ideal conditions. Recent multi-homer performances, including several two-homer games in April, have not escalated to the four-homer threshold. With roughly half the schedule remaining and no widespread offensive surge or rule changes boosting home-run rates, trader consensus assigns the "No" outcome a 75.5% implied probability, reflecting both the event's scarcity and the absence of developments that would materially elevate its likelihood.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any player hits four or more home runs in a single game during the 2026 MLB regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Four home runs by a player in any length regular season game will count toward resolution. Inside-the-park home runs will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if it cannot be determined if a player hit four home runs in a single game within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Four home runs by a player in any length regular season game will count toward resolution. Inside-the-park home runs will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if it cannot be determined if a player hit four home runs in a single game within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Apr 28, 2026, 7:03 PM ET
Volumen
$3Fecha de finalización
28 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 28, 2026, 7:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any player hits four or more home runs in a single game during the 2026 MLB regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Four home runs by a player in any length regular season game will count toward resolution. Inside-the-park home runs will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if it cannot be determined if a player hit four home runs in a single game within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**MLB's 2026 season has yet to produce a four-home-run game through mid-June, consistent with the historical rarity of the feat—only 21 instances across more than a century of play.** Leading power hitters such as Kyle Schwarber and Yordan Alvarez top the home-run leaderboard with roughly two dozen long balls each, but individual outbursts remain constrained by pitching matchups, ballpark factors, and the low probability of facing the same pitcher multiple times under ideal conditions. Recent multi-homer performances, including several two-homer games in April, have not escalated to the four-homer threshold. With roughly half the schedule remaining and no widespread offensive surge or rule changes boosting home-run rates, trader consensus assigns the "No" outcome a 75.5% implied probability, reflecting both the event's scarcity and the absence of developments that would materially elevate its likelihood.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any player hits four or more home runs in a single game during the 2026 MLB regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Four home runs by a player in any length regular season game will count toward resolution. Inside-the-park home runs will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if it cannot be determined if a player hit four home runs in a single game within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Four home runs by a player in any length regular season game will count toward resolution. Inside-the-park home runs will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if it cannot be determined if a player hit four home runs in a single game within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$3Fecha de finalización
28 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 28, 2026, 7:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**MLB's 2026 season has yet to produce a four-home-run game through mid-June, consistent with the historical rarity of the feat—only 21 instances across more than a century of play.** Leading power hitters such as Kyle Schwarber and Yordan Alvarez top the home-run leaderboard with roughly two dozen long balls each, but individual outbursts remain constrained by pitching matchups, ballpark factors, and the low probability of facing the same pitcher multiple times under ideal conditions. Recent multi-homer performances, including several two-homer games in April, have not escalated to the four-homer threshold. With roughly half the schedule remaining and no widespread offensive surge or rule changes boosting home-run rates, trader consensus assigns the "No" outcome a 75.5% implied probability, reflecting both the event's scarcity and the absence of developments that would materially elevate its likelihood.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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