Cruz Azul's commanding home advantage at Estadio Banorte and unbeaten record across seven straight Liga MX meetings with Chivas (six wins, one draw), capped by recent quarterfinal triumphs over Atlas (1-0 aggregate leg win), position them as trader-favored slight leaders at 39.5% implied probability for this Clausura 2026 semifinal first leg. Chivas, the No. 2 regular-season seed after a 2-0 quarterfinal victory versus Tigres, counters with potent away form despite forward Daniel Aguirre's confirmed muscle injury absence, fueling the tight race where draw odds sit at 36.5%. Mutual absences—Cruz Azul without Gabriel "Toro" Fernández (precautionary rest) and Jorge Rodarte (flu)—underscore the balanced, high-stakes rivalry dynamics keeping probabilities closely bunched.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoIf CF Cruz Azul wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Mercado abierto: May 12, 2026, 12:46 PM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://ligamx.net/cancha/partidosResolver
0x69c47De9D...If CF Cruz Azul wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Mercado abierto: May 12, 2026, 12:46 PM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://ligamx.net/cancha/partidosResolver
0x69c47De9D...Cruz Azul's commanding home advantage at Estadio Banorte and unbeaten record across seven straight Liga MX meetings with Chivas (six wins, one draw), capped by recent quarterfinal triumphs over Atlas (1-0 aggregate leg win), position them as trader-favored slight leaders at 39.5% implied probability for this Clausura 2026 semifinal first leg. Chivas, the No. 2 regular-season seed after a 2-0 quarterfinal victory versus Tigres, counters with potent away form despite forward Daniel Aguirre's confirmed muscle injury absence, fueling the tight race where draw odds sit at 36.5%. Mutual absences—Cruz Azul without Gabriel "Toro" Fernández (precautionary rest) and Jorge Rodarte (flu)—underscore the balanced, high-stakes rivalry dynamics keeping probabilities closely bunched.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado

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