Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no conviction for Toronto influencer and dating coach Justin Aguiar before 2027, with "No" at a commanding 93% implied probability, driven by the absence of any trial developments five months after his November 2025 arrest on a single sexual assault charge stemming from an August 2024 incident. Ontario Court of Justice backlogs, which led to the withdrawal of his two prior similar charges, have stalled progress amid no public hearings or updates since December 2025 victim statements amplifying allegations. This reflects real-money bettors' view of systemic delays in Canada's criminal justice, where high proof burdens and lengthy timelines favor acquittal or postponement. An upset could arise from expedited proceedings, new charges, or a plea deal, though none appear imminent.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Justin Aguiar condenado por agresión sexual antes de 2027?
¿Justin Aguiar condenado por agresión sexual antes de 2027?
Sí
$52,317 Vol.
$52,317 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sí
$52,317 Vol.
$52,317 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Justin Aguiar was recently arrested and charged with sexual assault by the Toronto Police Service after an investigation of an alleged sexual assault in 2024. You can read more about that here: https://www.tps.ca/media-centre/news-releases/64641/.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Aguiar is convicted of the sexual assault offense he is currently charged with by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If this charge ends due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or results in any situation in which no judgment is rendered by a court, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the first official judgment rendered regarding this charge. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be an official judgment delivered by the ruling court; however, other credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no conviction for Toronto influencer and dating coach Justin Aguiar before 2027, with "No" at a commanding 93% implied probability, driven by the absence of any trial developments five months after his November 2025 arrest on a single sexual assault charge stemming from an August 2024 incident. Ontario Court of Justice backlogs, which led to the withdrawal of his two prior similar charges, have stalled progress amid no public hearings or updates since December 2025 victim statements amplifying allegations. This reflects real-money bettors' view of systemic delays in Canada's criminal justice, where high proof burdens and lengthy timelines favor acquittal or postponement. An upset could arise from expedited proceedings, new charges, or a plea deal, though none appear imminent.
Justin Aguiar was recently arrested and charged with sexual assault by the Toronto Police Service after an investigation of an alleged sexual assault in 2024. You can read more about that here: https://www.tps.ca/media-centre/news-releases/64641/.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Aguiar is convicted of the sexual assault offense he is currently charged with by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If this charge ends due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or results in any situation in which no judgment is rendered by a court, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the first official judgment rendered regarding this charge. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be an official judgment delivered by the ruling court; however, other credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Aguiar is convicted of the sexual assault offense he is currently charged with by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If this charge ends due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or results in any situation in which no judgment is rendered by a court, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the first official judgment rendered regarding this charge. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be an official judgment delivered by the ruling court; however, other credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Nov 25, 2025, 7:35 PM ET
Volumen
$52,317Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Nov 25, 2025, 7:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Justin Aguiar was recently arrested and charged with sexual assault by the Toronto Police Service after an investigation of an alleged sexual assault in 2024. You can read more about that here: https://www.tps.ca/media-centre/news-releases/64641/.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Aguiar is convicted of the sexual assault offense he is currently charged with by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If this charge ends due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or results in any situation in which no judgment is rendered by a court, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the first official judgment rendered regarding this charge. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be an official judgment delivered by the ruling court; however, other credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no conviction for Toronto influencer and dating coach Justin Aguiar before 2027, with "No" at a commanding 93% implied probability, driven by the absence of any trial developments five months after his November 2025 arrest on a single sexual assault charge stemming from an August 2024 incident. Ontario Court of Justice backlogs, which led to the withdrawal of his two prior similar charges, have stalled progress amid no public hearings or updates since December 2025 victim statements amplifying allegations. This reflects real-money bettors' view of systemic delays in Canada's criminal justice, where high proof burdens and lengthy timelines favor acquittal or postponement. An upset could arise from expedited proceedings, new charges, or a plea deal, though none appear imminent.
Justin Aguiar was recently arrested and charged with sexual assault by the Toronto Police Service after an investigation of an alleged sexual assault in 2024. You can read more about that here: https://www.tps.ca/media-centre/news-releases/64641/.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Aguiar is convicted of the sexual assault offense he is currently charged with by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If this charge ends due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or results in any situation in which no judgment is rendered by a court, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the first official judgment rendered regarding this charge. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be an official judgment delivered by the ruling court; however, other credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Aguiar is convicted of the sexual assault offense he is currently charged with by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If this charge ends due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or results in any situation in which no judgment is rendered by a court, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the first official judgment rendered regarding this charge. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be an official judgment delivered by the ruling court; however, other credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$52,317Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Nov 25, 2025, 7:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no conviction for Toronto influencer and dating coach Justin Aguiar before 2027, with "No" at a commanding 93% implied probability, driven by the absence of any trial developments five months after his November 2025 arrest on a single sexual assault charge stemming from an August 2024 incident. Ontario Court of Justice backlogs, which led to the withdrawal of his two prior similar charges, have stalled progress amid no public hearings or updates since December 2025 victim statements amplifying allegations. This reflects real-money bettors' view of systemic delays in Canada's criminal justice, where high proof burdens and lengthy timelines favor acquittal or postponement. An upset could arise from expedited proceedings, new charges, or a plea deal, though none appear imminent.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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