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icon for ¿La película más taquillera de 2026?

¿La película más taquillera de 2026?

icon for ¿La película más taquillera de 2026?

¿La película más taquillera de 2026?

dic 31

dic 31

Spider-Man: Brand New Day 55%

Toy Story 5 20.8%

Avengers: Doomsday 13%

La película de Super Mario Galaxy 5.8%

Polymarket

$11,552,964 Vol.

Spider-Man: Brand New Day 55%

Toy Story 5 20.8%

Avengers: Doomsday 13%

La película de Super Mario Galaxy 5.8%

Polymarket

$11,552,964 Vol.

Spider-Man: Brand New Day

$319,481 Vol.

55%

Toy Story 5

$332,412 Vol.

21%

Avengers: Doomsday

$403,000 Vol.

13%

La película de Super Mario Galaxy

$348,299 Vol.

6%

La Odisea

$486,381 Vol.

2%

Dune: Messiah

$402,382 Vol.

1%

Wicked: For Good

$1,670,112 Vol.

1%

Scream 7

$1,941,306 Vol.

1%

Cumbres Borrascosas

$1,801,026 Vol.

1%

Jumanji 3

$549,976 Vol.

1%

Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu

$426,300 Vol.

<1%

Los Juegos del Hambre: Amanecer en la Cosecha

$909,014 Vol.

<1%

Michael

$907,084 Vol.

<1%

Proyecto Hail Mary

$1,056,445 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the title of the film with the highest 2026 gross according to the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses once data for December 31 is made available. Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross. In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner. If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Spider-Man: Brand New Day's July 31 summer release anchors its 54.5% implied probability as 2026's top earner, leveraging the MCU franchise's proven global draw and blockbuster positioning amid strong presales tracking. Toy Story 5's June 19 debut supports its 20.8% share through Pixar's family appeal and reliable animation performance, though it faces a shorter window to dominate year-end tallies. Avengers: Doomsday at 12.5% benefits from MCU momentum and a December holiday slot but trails due to later timing and variable recent entries. Lower contenders like The Super Mario Galaxy Movie reflect solid animated IP potential yet limited scale against live-action tentpoles, with traders pricing in release timing, historical franchise benchmarks, and competitive summer dynamics as key swing factors ahead of key chart updates.

This market will resolve according to the title of the film with the highest 2026 gross according to the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses once data for December 31 is made available.

Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross.

In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner.

If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volumen
$11,552,964
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Nov 12, 2025, 11:53 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the title of the film with the highest 2026 gross according to the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses once data for December 31 is made available. Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross. In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner. If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the title of the film with the highest 2026 gross according to the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses once data for December 31 is made available. Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross. In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner. If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Spider-Man: Brand New Day's July 31 summer release anchors its 54.5% implied probability as 2026's top earner, leveraging the MCU franchise's proven global draw and blockbuster positioning amid strong presales tracking. Toy Story 5's June 19 debut supports its 20.8% share through Pixar's family appeal and reliable animation performance, though it faces a shorter window to dominate year-end tallies. Avengers: Doomsday at 12.5% benefits from MCU momentum and a December holiday slot but trails due to later timing and variable recent entries. Lower contenders like The Super Mario Galaxy Movie reflect solid animated IP potential yet limited scale against live-action tentpoles, with traders pricing in release timing, historical franchise benchmarks, and competitive summer dynamics as key swing factors ahead of key chart updates.

This market will resolve according to the title of the film with the highest 2026 gross according to the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses once data for December 31 is made available.

Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross.

In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner.

If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volumen
$11,552,964
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Nov 12, 2025, 11:53 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the title of the film with the highest 2026 gross according to the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses once data for December 31 is made available. Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross. In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner. If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿La película más taquillera de 2026?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 14 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" con 55%, seguido de "Toy Story 5" con 21%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 55¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 55% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿La película más taquillera de 2026?" ha generado $11.6 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Nov 12, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿La película más taquillera de 2026?", explora los 14 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿La película más taquillera de 2026?" es "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" con 55%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 55% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Toy Story 5" con 21%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿La película más taquillera de 2026?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.