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¿La película más taquillera de 2026?

icon for ¿La película más taquillera de 2026?

¿La película más taquillera de 2026?

dic 31

dic 31

Spider-Man: Brand New Day 66%

Avengers: Doomsday 19%

La película de Super Mario Galaxy 4.3%

Toy Story 5 2.8%

Polymarket

$4,933,408 Vol.

Spider-Man: Brand New Day 66%

Avengers: Doomsday 19%

La película de Super Mario Galaxy 4.3%

Toy Story 5 2.8%

Polymarket

$4,933,408 Vol.

Spider-Man: Brand New Day

$208,226 Vol.

66%

Avengers: Doomsday

$243,630 Vol.

19%

La película de Super Mario Galaxy

$197,604 Vol.

4%

Toy Story 5

$203,987 Vol.

3%

La Odisea

$384,854 Vol.

2%

Michael

$727,644 Vol.

2%

Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu

$156,823 Vol.

1%

Dune: Messiah

$327,888 Vol.

1%

Los Juegos del Hambre: Amanecer en la Cosecha

$252,413 Vol.

<1%

Cumbres Borrascosas

$651,010 Vol.

<1%

Proyecto Hail Mary

$333,368 Vol.

<1%

Jumanji 3

$143,925 Vol.

<1%

Wicked: For Good

$616,698 Vol.

<1%

Scream 7

$485,822 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the title of the film with the highest 2026 gross according to the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses once data for December 31 is made available. Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross. In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner. If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Spider-Man: Brand New Day leads Polymarket trader consensus at 65.5% implied probability for 2026's highest-grossing film, propelled by explosive buzz from Sony's CinemaCon first-look footage unveiled earlier this month, showcasing an isolated Peter Parker and emotional MJ reunion that reignited fan excitement for Tom Holland's web-slinger. The July 31 summer slot positions it for massive opening weekend tracking, building on No Way Home's $1.9 billion precedent amid strong presales indicators projecting over $1 billion worldwide. Avengers: Doomsday trails at 19%, buoyed by industry expert surveys forecasting $2.5 billion potential but tempered by its late December 18 release facing holiday competition. Early-year releases like Michael ($97 million opening) and The Super Mario Galaxy Movie show solid starts but lack tentpole scale, with key catalysts ahead including full trailers and tracking updates.

This market will resolve according to the title of the film with the highest 2026 gross according to the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses once data for December 31 is made available.

Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross.

In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner.

If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volumen
$4,933,408
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Nov 12, 2025, 11:53 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the title of the film with the highest 2026 gross according to the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses once data for December 31 is made available. Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross. In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner. If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the title of the film with the highest 2026 gross according to the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses once data for December 31 is made available. Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross. In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner. If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Spider-Man: Brand New Day leads Polymarket trader consensus at 65.5% implied probability for 2026's highest-grossing film, propelled by explosive buzz from Sony's CinemaCon first-look footage unveiled earlier this month, showcasing an isolated Peter Parker and emotional MJ reunion that reignited fan excitement for Tom Holland's web-slinger. The July 31 summer slot positions it for massive opening weekend tracking, building on No Way Home's $1.9 billion precedent amid strong presales indicators projecting over $1 billion worldwide. Avengers: Doomsday trails at 19%, buoyed by industry expert surveys forecasting $2.5 billion potential but tempered by its late December 18 release facing holiday competition. Early-year releases like Michael ($97 million opening) and The Super Mario Galaxy Movie show solid starts but lack tentpole scale, with key catalysts ahead including full trailers and tracking updates.

This market will resolve according to the title of the film with the highest 2026 gross according to the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses once data for December 31 is made available.

Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross.

In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner.

If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volumen
$4,933,408
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Nov 12, 2025, 11:53 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the title of the film with the highest 2026 gross according to the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses once data for December 31 is made available. Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross. In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner. If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿La película más taquillera de 2026?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 14 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" con 66%, seguido de "Avengers: Doomsday" con 19%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 66¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 66% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿La película más taquillera de 2026?" ha generado $4.9 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Nov 12, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿La película más taquillera de 2026?", explora los 14 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿La película más taquillera de 2026?" es "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" con 66%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 66% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Avengers: Doomsday" con 19%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿La película más taquillera de 2026?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.