The dominant market consensus around an 85–90 cumulative FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for Week 23, 2026 (ending June 13) reflects the season’s already elevated burden, with the cumulative rate reaching 87.5 per 100,000 by Week 22 amid a notably severe 2025–2026 outbreak driven primarily by influenza A(H3N2). Late-season weekly rates have fallen to 0.1 per 100,000, consistent with historical off-season patterns and CDC forecasts projecting only 320–2,000 additional national admissions through mid-June. This positions the final cumulative figure firmly within the 85–90 band absent major reporting revisions. A realistic challenge would require an anomalous late-June surge or substantial upward data adjustments, both improbable given sustained low transmission and surveillance trends.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoFlu Hospitalization Rate Week 23, 2026?
85–90 93.8%
90–95 3.7%
<80 <1%
95–100 <1%
<80
1%
80–85
<1%
85–90
94%
90–95
4%
95–100
1%
100+
<1%
85–90 93.8%
90–95 3.7%
<80 <1%
95–100 <1%
<80
1%
80–85
<1%
85–90
94%
90–95
4%
95–100
1%
100+
<1%
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
Mercado abierto: Jun 12, 2026, 7:22 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The dominant market consensus around an 85–90 cumulative FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for Week 23, 2026 (ending June 13) reflects the season’s already elevated burden, with the cumulative rate reaching 87.5 per 100,000 by Week 22 amid a notably severe 2025–2026 outbreak driven primarily by influenza A(H3N2). Late-season weekly rates have fallen to 0.1 per 100,000, consistent with historical off-season patterns and CDC forecasts projecting only 320–2,000 additional national admissions through mid-June. This positions the final cumulative figure firmly within the 85–90 band absent major reporting revisions. A realistic challenge would require an anomalous late-June surge or substantial upward data adjustments, both improbable given sustained low transmission and surveillance trends.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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