The latest CDC FluView report for week 15 (ending April 18, 2026) shows a cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate of 85.2 per 100,000 population via FluSurv-NET surveillance—the third highest since 2010-2011—driving trader consensus toward 85–90 for week 16, as weekly rates have plunged to 0.5 per 100,000 (estimated 0.7–0.9 after delays) amid minimal nationwide influenza A(H3N2) activity and declining test positivity. FluSight ensemble forecasts predict just 0.33 new weekly admissions per 100,000 for week 16 (95% interval: 0.05–0.8), implying negligible cumulative growth to around 85.5–86. Strong positioning reflects this deceleration in a severe season, though larger-than-expected reporting backlogs or unreported cases could push toward 90+, while sub-85 would require downward revisions uncommon at season's end. Next FluView (week 16) expected soon.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoFlu Hospitalization Rate Week 16, 2026?
Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 16, 2026?
85–90 97.0%
90–95 4.6%
80–85 2.5%
<80 2.0%
<80
2%
80–85
3%
85–90
97%
90–95
5%
95–100
1%
100+
<1%
85–90 97.0%
90–95 4.6%
80–85 2.5%
<80 2.0%
<80
2%
80–85
3%
85–90
97%
90–95
5%
95–100
1%
100+
<1%
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
Mercado abierto: Apr 24, 2026, 11:18 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The latest CDC FluView report for week 15 (ending April 18, 2026) shows a cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate of 85.2 per 100,000 population via FluSurv-NET surveillance—the third highest since 2010-2011—driving trader consensus toward 85–90 for week 16, as weekly rates have plunged to 0.5 per 100,000 (estimated 0.7–0.9 after delays) amid minimal nationwide influenza A(H3N2) activity and declining test positivity. FluSight ensemble forecasts predict just 0.33 new weekly admissions per 100,000 for week 16 (95% interval: 0.05–0.8), implying negligible cumulative growth to around 85.5–86. Strong positioning reflects this deceleration in a severe season, though larger-than-expected reporting backlogs or unreported cases could push toward 90+, while sub-85 would require downward revisions uncommon at season's end. Next FluView (week 16) expected soon.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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