Union Berlin holds a slim 38.5% implied probability edge over 1. FC Köln (32.5%) and draw (28.5%) in this Bundesliga relegation six-pointer, reflecting trader consensus on home advantage at An der Alten Försterei despite Union's three-match losing streak and 13 goals conceded across their last five outings. Both sides sit precariously—Union 13th with 32 points, Köln 14th on 31—six and five points above the playoff spot, fueling desperation for points. Köln's 11-match winless away run tempers enthusiasm, compounded by absences of striker Ragnar Ache (muscle), defenders Timo Hübers and Luca Kilian (knee), and suspended midfielder Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson, yet their recent draw-heavy form (four unbeaten before a 2-1 Leverkusen loss) and Union's goalkeeper crisis (Rønnow, Raab out) sustain the tight contest alongside Union's recent 1-0 head-to-head win.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoIf 1. FC Union Berlin wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Mercado abierto: Apr 19, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.bundesliga.com/en/bundesligaResolver
0x69c47De9D...If 1. FC Union Berlin wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Mercado abierto: Apr 19, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.bundesliga.com/en/bundesligaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Union Berlin holds a slim 38.5% implied probability edge over 1. FC Köln (32.5%) and draw (28.5%) in this Bundesliga relegation six-pointer, reflecting trader consensus on home advantage at An der Alten Försterei despite Union's three-match losing streak and 13 goals conceded across their last five outings. Both sides sit precariously—Union 13th with 32 points, Köln 14th on 31—six and five points above the playoff spot, fueling desperation for points. Köln's 11-match winless away run tempers enthusiasm, compounded by absences of striker Ragnar Ache (muscle), defenders Timo Hübers and Luca Kilian (knee), and suspended midfielder Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson, yet their recent draw-heavy form (four unbeaten before a 2-1 Leverkusen loss) and Union's goalkeeper crisis (Rønnow, Raab out) sustain the tight contest alongside Union's recent 1-0 head-to-head win.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado

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