Trader consensus reflects a dead-even field for pole position at the Canadian Grand Prix, with all 22 drivers priced at 50% implied probability amid 2026's transformative active aero and sustainable power unit regulations that have compressed one-lap pace across the grid. Early-season qualifying has featured razor-thin margins, highlighted by rookie sensation Kimi Antonelli's perfect 100% win rate from pole in limited starts and strong average finishes near the front, alongside consistent top-end showings from Oscar Piastri, Max Verstappen, and George Russell. Circuit Gilles Villeneuve's low-downforce demands for straight-line speed and braking stability favor versatile setups, but with no practice sessions yet and over three weeks until the May 22-24 weekend, no clear qualifying favorite has emerged to shift sentiment.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoPierre Gasly 50%
Gabriel Bortoleto 50%
Charles Leclerc 50%
Esteban Ocon 50%
Pierre Gasly
50%
Gabriel Bortoleto
50%
Charles Leclerc
50%
Esteban Ocon
50%
Lando Norris
50%
Kimi Antonelli
50%
Max Verstappen
50%
Franco Colapinto
50%
Nico Hulkenberg
50%
Lewis Hamilton
50%
Oscar Piastri
50%
George Russell
50%
Arvid Lindblad
50%
Isack Hadjar
50%
Liam Lawson
50%
Oliver Bearman
48%
Fernando Alonso
10%
Alexander Albon
10%
Sergio Perez
10%
Carlos Sainz Jr.
10%
Valtteri Bottas
10%
Lance Stroll
10%
Pierre Gasly 50%
Gabriel Bortoleto 50%
Charles Leclerc 50%
Esteban Ocon 50%
Pierre Gasly
50%
Gabriel Bortoleto
50%
Charles Leclerc
50%
Esteban Ocon
50%
Lando Norris
50%
Kimi Antonelli
50%
Max Verstappen
50%
Franco Colapinto
50%
Nico Hulkenberg
50%
Lewis Hamilton
50%
Oscar Piastri
50%
George Russell
50%
Arvid Lindblad
50%
Isack Hadjar
50%
Liam Lawson
50%
Oliver Bearman
48%
Fernando Alonso
10%
Alexander Albon
10%
Sergio Perez
10%
Carlos Sainz Jr.
10%
Valtteri Bottas
10%
Lance Stroll
10%
If the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after May 30, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid.
For example, if a driver sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that driver.
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Mercado abierto: Apr 25, 2026, 7:31 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/racesResolver
0x69c47De9D...If the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after May 30, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid.
For example, if a driver sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that driver.
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/racesResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus reflects a dead-even field for pole position at the Canadian Grand Prix, with all 22 drivers priced at 50% implied probability amid 2026's transformative active aero and sustainable power unit regulations that have compressed one-lap pace across the grid. Early-season qualifying has featured razor-thin margins, highlighted by rookie sensation Kimi Antonelli's perfect 100% win rate from pole in limited starts and strong average finishes near the front, alongside consistent top-end showings from Oscar Piastri, Max Verstappen, and George Russell. Circuit Gilles Villeneuve's low-downforce demands for straight-line speed and braking stability favor versatile setups, but with no practice sessions yet and over three weeks until the May 22-24 weekend, no clear qualifying favorite has emerged to shift sentiment.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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