Elon Musk’s baseline posting pace of roughly 20 tweets per day, drawn from 2025–2026 tracking data, anchors trader consensus around the 160-179 range at 40.4% implied probability for the June 9–16 window. SpaceX-related commentary on recent satellite milestones and routine replies to political and cultural posts have sustained steady volume without the viral spikes that previously pushed weekly totals above 200. Mid-period updates show no major breaking news catalysts or extended absences likely to shift the trajectory, keeping 180-199 (25.5%) as the nearest alternative while lower bands like 140-159 (21.3%) remain live only if activity tapers sharply in the final days.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado160-179 39.4%
180-199 26%
140-159 21.3%
200-219 11%
$3,999,823 Vol.
$3,999,823 Vol.
16 jun 2026
120-139
4%
140-159
21%
160-179
39%
180-199
26%
200-219
11%
220-239
3%
240-259
1%
260-279
<1%
280-299
<1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
160-179 39.4%
180-199 26%
140-159 21.3%
200-219 11%
$3,999,823 Vol.
$3,999,823 Vol.
16 jun 2026
120-139
$402,558 Vol.
4%
140-159
$289,256 Vol.
21%
160-179
$157,327 Vol.
39%
180-199
$148,062 Vol.
26%
200-219
$162,345 Vol.
11%
220-239
$167,567 Vol.
3%
240-259
$152,917 Vol.
1%
260-279
$146,128 Vol.
<1%
280-299
$140,011 Vol.
<1%
300-319
$166,666 Vol.
<1%
320-339
$164,053 Vol.
<1%
340-359
$125,468 Vol.
<1%
360-379
$127,949 Vol.
<1%
380-399
$142,289 Vol.
<1%
400-419
$98,065 Vol.
<1%
420-439
$74,830 Vol.
<1%
440-459
$58,625 Vol.
<1%
460-479
$136,818 Vol.
<1%
480-499
$87,058 Vol.
<1%
500+
$160,446 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 9 12:00 PM ET to June 16, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s baseline posting pace of roughly 20 tweets per day, drawn from 2025–2026 tracking data, anchors trader consensus around the 160-179 range at 40.4% implied probability for the June 9–16 window. SpaceX-related commentary on recent satellite milestones and routine replies to political and cultural posts have sustained steady volume without the viral spikes that previously pushed weekly totals above 200. Mid-period updates show no major breaking news catalysts or extended absences likely to shift the trajectory, keeping 180-199 (25.5%) as the nearest alternative while lower bands like 140-159 (21.3%) remain live only if activity tapers sharply in the final days.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 9 12:00 PM ET to June 16, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado abierto: Jun 6, 2026, 12:26 AM ET
Volumen
$3,999,823Fecha de finalización
16 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 6, 2026, 12:26 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 9 12:00 PM ET to June 16, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s baseline posting pace of roughly 20 tweets per day, drawn from 2025–2026 tracking data, anchors trader consensus around the 160-179 range at 40.4% implied probability for the June 9–16 window. SpaceX-related commentary on recent satellite milestones and routine replies to political and cultural posts have sustained steady volume without the viral spikes that previously pushed weekly totals above 200. Mid-period updates show no major breaking news catalysts or extended absences likely to shift the trajectory, keeping 180-199 (25.5%) as the nearest alternative while lower bands like 140-159 (21.3%) remain live only if activity tapers sharply in the final days.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 9 12:00 PM ET to June 16, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volumen
$3,999,823Fecha de finalización
16 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 6, 2026, 12:26 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk’s baseline posting pace of roughly 20 tweets per day, drawn from 2025–2026 tracking data, anchors trader consensus around the 160-179 range at 40.4% implied probability for the June 9–16 window. SpaceX-related commentary on recent satellite milestones and routine replies to political and cultural posts have sustained steady volume without the viral spikes that previously pushed weekly totals above 200. Mid-period updates show no major breaking news catalysts or extended absences likely to shift the trajectory, keeping 180-199 (25.5%) as the nearest alternative while lower bands like 140-159 (21.3%) remain live only if activity tapers sharply in the final days.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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