The 87.5% implied probability on "No" reflects trader consensus that the Dutch House of Representatives faces low risk of dissolution in 2026, driven by the Jetten minority government's successful swearing-in on February 23 following the 2025–2026 cabinet formation after October's snap election. This D66-VVD-CDA coalition, holding about 66 seats without a majority, advanced its agenda via the February coalition agreement and navigated early parliamentary debates without collapse. Recent polls show declining support—D66 halving in recent months amid criticism over asylum and housing policies—but no no-confidence motions have passed in the past 60 days. Absent escalation, the path to 2030 elections remains intact, though budget votes could pressure stability.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La Cámara de Representantes holandesa se disolvió en 2026?
¿La Cámara de Representantes holandesa se disolvió en 2026?
Sí
$11,360 Vol.
$11,360 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sí
$11,360 Vol.
$11,360 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Dutch House of Representatives (Tweede Kamer der Staten-Generaal), as of January 27, 2026, is dissolved by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of the Netherlands, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The 87.5% implied probability on "No" reflects trader consensus that the Dutch House of Representatives faces low risk of dissolution in 2026, driven by the Jetten minority government's successful swearing-in on February 23 following the 2025–2026 cabinet formation after October's snap election. This D66-VVD-CDA coalition, holding about 66 seats without a majority, advanced its agenda via the February coalition agreement and navigated early parliamentary debates without collapse. Recent polls show declining support—D66 halving in recent months amid criticism over asylum and housing policies—but no no-confidence motions have passed in the past 60 days. Absent escalation, the path to 2030 elections remains intact, though budget votes could pressure stability.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Dutch House of Representatives (Tweede Kamer der Staten-Generaal), as of January 27, 2026, is dissolved by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of the Netherlands, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of the Netherlands, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercado abierto: Jan 27, 2026, 7:17 PM ET
Volumen
$11,360Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 27, 2026, 7:17 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Dutch House of Representatives (Tweede Kamer der Staten-Generaal), as of January 27, 2026, is dissolved by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of the Netherlands, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The 87.5% implied probability on "No" reflects trader consensus that the Dutch House of Representatives faces low risk of dissolution in 2026, driven by the Jetten minority government's successful swearing-in on February 23 following the 2025–2026 cabinet formation after October's snap election. This D66-VVD-CDA coalition, holding about 66 seats without a majority, advanced its agenda via the February coalition agreement and navigated early parliamentary debates without collapse. Recent polls show declining support—D66 halving in recent months amid criticism over asylum and housing policies—but no no-confidence motions have passed in the past 60 days. Absent escalation, the path to 2030 elections remains intact, though budget votes could pressure stability.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Dutch House of Representatives (Tweede Kamer der Staten-Generaal), as of January 27, 2026, is dissolved by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of the Netherlands, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of the Netherlands, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$11,360Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 27, 2026, 7:17 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The 87.5% implied probability on "No" reflects trader consensus that the Dutch House of Representatives faces low risk of dissolution in 2026, driven by the Jetten minority government's successful swearing-in on February 23 following the 2025–2026 cabinet formation after October's snap election. This D66-VVD-CDA coalition, holding about 66 seats without a majority, advanced its agenda via the February coalition agreement and navigated early parliamentary debates without collapse. Recent polls show declining support—D66 halving in recent months amid criticism over asylum and housing policies—but no no-confidence motions have passed in the past 60 days. Absent escalation, the path to 2030 elections remains intact, though budget votes could pressure stability.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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