The managed crawling band regime introduced in January 2026, with monthly adjustments tied to lagged inflation readings near 2.3–2.8 percent, forms the core driver of trader pricing for Argentina’s official USD/ARS rate at year-end. Spot levels near 1,430 in mid-June sit inside a band whose ceiling has already approached 1,780, yet persistent inflation differentials above band widening support further peso depreciation to facilitate BCRA dollar purchases and rebuild thin net international reserves under the IMF program. Analyst projections from BBVA Research, MUFG, and CEIC cluster around 1,760–1,800, reflecting the priority on reserve accumulation amid decelerating but still-elevated price pressures. The narrow gap between the sub-1,600 and 1,600–1,699 brackets embeds uncertainty over the pace of disinflation, soy-harvest inflows, and any acceleration in re-monetization or external financing that could moderate the crawl.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$18,607 Vol.
$18,607 Vol.
31 dic 2026
<1600,00
42%
1600,00–1699,99
47%
1700,00–1799,99
7%
1800,00–1899,99
4%
1900,00–1999,99
2%
2000,00+
7%
$18,607 Vol.
$18,607 Vol.
31 dic 2026
<1600,00
$2,008 Vol.
42%
1600,00–1699,99
$1,468 Vol.
47%
1700,00–1799,99
$1,222 Vol.
7%
1800,00–1899,99
$1,114 Vol.
4%
1900,00–1999,99
$11,360 Vol.
2%
2000,00+
$1,435 Vol.
7%
This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.The managed crawling band regime introduced in January 2026, with monthly adjustments tied to lagged inflation readings near 2.3–2.8 percent, forms the core driver of trader pricing for Argentina’s official USD/ARS rate at year-end. Spot levels near 1,430 in mid-June sit inside a band whose ceiling has already approached 1,780, yet persistent inflation differentials above band widening support further peso depreciation to facilitate BCRA dollar purchases and rebuild thin net international reserves under the IMF program. Analyst projections from BBVA Research, MUFG, and CEIC cluster around 1,760–1,800, reflecting the priority on reserve accumulation amid decelerating but still-elevated price pressures. The narrow gap between the sub-1,600 and 1,600–1,699 brackets embeds uncertainty over the pace of disinflation, soy-harvest inflows, and any acceleration in re-monetization or external financing that could moderate the crawl.
This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Mercado abierto: Jan 26, 2026, 4:48 PM ET
Volumen
$18,607Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 26, 2026, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.The managed crawling band regime introduced in January 2026, with monthly adjustments tied to lagged inflation readings near 2.3–2.8 percent, forms the core driver of trader pricing for Argentina’s official USD/ARS rate at year-end. Spot levels near 1,430 in mid-June sit inside a band whose ceiling has already approached 1,780, yet persistent inflation differentials above band widening support further peso depreciation to facilitate BCRA dollar purchases and rebuild thin net international reserves under the IMF program. Analyst projections from BBVA Research, MUFG, and CEIC cluster around 1,760–1,800, reflecting the priority on reserve accumulation amid decelerating but still-elevated price pressures. The narrow gap between the sub-1,600 and 1,600–1,699 brackets embeds uncertainty over the pace of disinflation, soy-harvest inflows, and any acceleration in re-monetization or external financing that could moderate the crawl.
This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volumen
$18,607Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 26, 2026, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The managed crawling band regime introduced in January 2026, with monthly adjustments tied to lagged inflation readings near 2.3–2.8 percent, forms the core driver of trader pricing for Argentina’s official USD/ARS rate at year-end. Spot levels near 1,430 in mid-June sit inside a band whose ceiling has already approached 1,780, yet persistent inflation differentials above band widening support further peso depreciation to facilitate BCRA dollar purchases and rebuild thin net international reserves under the IMF program. Analyst projections from BBVA Research, MUFG, and CEIC cluster around 1,760–1,800, reflecting the priority on reserve accumulation amid decelerating but still-elevated price pressures. The narrow gap between the sub-1,600 and 1,600–1,699 brackets embeds uncertainty over the pace of disinflation, soy-harvest inflows, and any acceleration in re-monetization or external financing that could moderate the crawl.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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