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¿Ahmed al-Sharaa como líder de Siria para el 31 de diciembre de 2026?

icon for ¿Ahmed al-Sharaa como líder de Siria para el 31 de diciembre de 2026?

¿Ahmed al-Sharaa como líder de Siria para el 31 de diciembre de 2026?

dic 31

dic 31

16% probabilidad
Polymarket

$56,307 Vol.

16% probabilidad
Polymarket

$56,307 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ahmed al-Sharaa ceases to be President of Syria for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Ahmed al-Sharaa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ahmed al-Sharaa and the government of Syria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Syrian President Ahmed al-Sharaa maintains firm control as transitional leader following Hay'at Tahrir al-Sham's overthrow of Bashar al-Assad in late 2024, with trader consensus at 85.5% implying he will not be ousted by year-end 2026 reflecting his consolidation of power amid ongoing challenges. Recent developments include a February 2026 UN report detailing five foiled ISIL assassination plots against al-Sharaa and ministers, bolstering perceptions of effective security measures, alongside diplomatic engagements such as a January ceasefire with Syrian Democratic Forces and meetings with regional leaders. His March announcements on government evaluations and a near-tripled 2026 budget prioritizing reconstruction signal institutional stability, while international sanction relief and anti-ISIL cooperation reduce external pressures, though sporadic violence and factional unification efforts persist as potential risks.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ahmed al-Sharaa ceases to be President of Syria for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Ahmed al-Sharaa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ahmed al-Sharaa and the government of Syria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$56,307
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Nov 5, 2025, 2:58 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ahmed al-Sharaa ceases to be President of Syria for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Ahmed al-Sharaa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ahmed al-Sharaa and the government of Syria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ahmed al-Sharaa ceases to be President of Syria for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Ahmed al-Sharaa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ahmed al-Sharaa and the government of Syria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Syrian President Ahmed al-Sharaa maintains firm control as transitional leader following Hay'at Tahrir al-Sham's overthrow of Bashar al-Assad in late 2024, with trader consensus at 85.5% implying he will not be ousted by year-end 2026 reflecting his consolidation of power amid ongoing challenges. Recent developments include a February 2026 UN report detailing five foiled ISIL assassination plots against al-Sharaa and ministers, bolstering perceptions of effective security measures, alongside diplomatic engagements such as a January ceasefire with Syrian Democratic Forces and meetings with regional leaders. His March announcements on government evaluations and a near-tripled 2026 budget prioritizing reconstruction signal institutional stability, while international sanction relief and anti-ISIL cooperation reduce external pressures, though sporadic violence and factional unification efforts persist as potential risks.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ahmed al-Sharaa ceases to be President of Syria for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Ahmed al-Sharaa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ahmed al-Sharaa and the government of Syria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$56,307
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Nov 5, 2025, 2:58 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ahmed al-Sharaa ceases to be President of Syria for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Ahmed al-Sharaa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ahmed al-Sharaa and the government of Syria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Ahmed al-Sharaa como líder de Siria para el 31 de diciembre de 2026?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "¿Ahmed al-Sharaa dejará de ser líder de Siria antes del 31 de diciembre de 2026?" con 16%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 16¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 16% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Ahmed al-Sharaa como líder de Siria para el 31 de diciembre de 2026?" ha generado $56.3K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Nov 5, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Ahmed al-Sharaa como líder de Siria para el 31 de diciembre de 2026?", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Ahmed al-Sharaa como líder de Siria para el 31 de diciembre de 2026?" es "¿Ahmed al-Sharaa dejará de ser líder de Siria antes del 31 de diciembre de 2026?" con 16%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 16% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Ahmed al-Sharaa como líder de Siria para el 31 de diciembre de 2026?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.