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icon for Will Petro mention Hitler again by June 30?

Will Petro mention Hitler again by June 30?

icon for Will Petro mention Hitler again by June 30?

Will Petro mention Hitler again by June 30?

25% chance
Polymarket
NEW
25% chance
Polymarket
NEW
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Gustavo Petro publicly mentions Hitler between the time of its creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying statement includes any remark by Gustavo Petro that explicitly uses the word “Hitler” in any context. General neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “Yes, I posted about Hitler”) will qualify if it explicitly mentions Hitler. Any written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify. Text or speech contained in images, memes, or videos posted by Petro on his official social media accounts will qualify if it clearly mentions Hitler, provided that any additional posted commentary from Petro does not explicitly state that the reference is not his own statement. Media contained only within reposts or posts quoted by Petro will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Gustavo Petro.Colombian President Gustavo Petro’s June 8 tweet of “Heil Hitler” in reply to an op-ed endorsing order and authority ahead of the June 21 presidential runoff triggered immediate international condemnation from lawmakers, the Anti-Defamation League, and Israel’s Foreign Ministry. The post, viewed tens of millions of times, followed earlier instances in which Petro drew Nazi comparisons during UN addresses. With the runoff three weeks away and widespread calls for restraint from regional legislators, traders assess the risk of another public reference to Hitler before June 30 as low. The short resolution window and swift reputational costs from the latest episode reinforce the current 75.5% implied probability on “No.”

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Gustavo Petro publicly mentions Hitler between the time of its creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying statement includes any remark by Gustavo Petro that explicitly uses the word “Hitler” in any context.

General neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “Yes, I posted about Hitler”) will qualify if it explicitly mentions Hitler.

Any written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify.

Text or speech contained in images, memes, or videos posted by Petro on his official social media accounts will qualify if it clearly mentions Hitler, provided that any additional posted commentary from Petro does not explicitly state that the reference is not his own statement. Media contained only within reposts or posts quoted by Petro will not qualify.

The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Gustavo Petro.
Volume
$74
End Date
Jun 30, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 8, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Gustavo Petro publicly mentions Hitler between the time of its creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying statement includes any remark by Gustavo Petro that explicitly uses the word “Hitler” in any context. General neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “Yes, I posted about Hitler”) will qualify if it explicitly mentions Hitler. Any written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify. Text or speech contained in images, memes, or videos posted by Petro on his official social media accounts will qualify if it clearly mentions Hitler, provided that any additional posted commentary from Petro does not explicitly state that the reference is not his own statement. Media contained only within reposts or posts quoted by Petro will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Gustavo Petro.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Gustavo Petro publicly mentions Hitler between the time of its creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying statement includes any remark by Gustavo Petro that explicitly uses the word “Hitler” in any context. General neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “Yes, I posted about Hitler”) will qualify if it explicitly mentions Hitler. Any written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify. Text or speech contained in images, memes, or videos posted by Petro on his official social media accounts will qualify if it clearly mentions Hitler, provided that any additional posted commentary from Petro does not explicitly state that the reference is not his own statement. Media contained only within reposts or posts quoted by Petro will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Gustavo Petro.Colombian President Gustavo Petro’s June 8 tweet of “Heil Hitler” in reply to an op-ed endorsing order and authority ahead of the June 21 presidential runoff triggered immediate international condemnation from lawmakers, the Anti-Defamation League, and Israel’s Foreign Ministry. The post, viewed tens of millions of times, followed earlier instances in which Petro drew Nazi comparisons during UN addresses. With the runoff three weeks away and widespread calls for restraint from regional legislators, traders assess the risk of another public reference to Hitler before June 30 as low. The short resolution window and swift reputational costs from the latest episode reinforce the current 75.5% implied probability on “No.”

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Gustavo Petro publicly mentions Hitler between the time of its creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying statement includes any remark by Gustavo Petro that explicitly uses the word “Hitler” in any context.

General neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “Yes, I posted about Hitler”) will qualify if it explicitly mentions Hitler.

Any written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify.

Text or speech contained in images, memes, or videos posted by Petro on his official social media accounts will qualify if it clearly mentions Hitler, provided that any additional posted commentary from Petro does not explicitly state that the reference is not his own statement. Media contained only within reposts or posts quoted by Petro will not qualify.

The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Gustavo Petro.
Volume
$74
End Date
Jun 30, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 8, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Gustavo Petro publicly mentions Hitler between the time of its creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying statement includes any remark by Gustavo Petro that explicitly uses the word “Hitler” in any context. General neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “Yes, I posted about Hitler”) will qualify if it explicitly mentions Hitler. Any written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify. Text or speech contained in images, memes, or videos posted by Petro on his official social media accounts will qualify if it clearly mentions Hitler, provided that any additional posted commentary from Petro does not explicitly state that the reference is not his own statement. Media contained only within reposts or posts quoted by Petro will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Gustavo Petro.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Will Petro mention Hitler again by June 30?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 25% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 25¢, the market collectively assigns a 25% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Will Petro mention Hitler again by June 30?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jun 9, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Will Petro mention Hitler again by June 30?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will Petro mention Hitler again by June 30?" is 25% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 25% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will Petro mention Hitler again by June 30?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.