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icon for Will Ninjas in Pyjamas make a roster change before July?

Will Ninjas in Pyjamas make a roster change before July?

icon for Will Ninjas in Pyjamas make a roster change before July?

Will Ninjas in Pyjamas make a roster change before July?

50% chance
Polymarket
NEW
50% chance
Polymarket
NEW
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves Ninjas in Pyjamas's active League of Legends roster (defined as the active lineup listed on the Ninjas in Pyjamas Liquipedia page: https://liquipedia.net/leagueoflegends/Ninjas_in_Pyjamas) by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". As of market creation the active roster consists of the following players: Alley, Hoya, Guwon, Care, Assum, and Zhuo. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes. For the purpose of this market, "roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different active roster. Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single match will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be Liquipedia; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Ninjas in Pyjamas' League of Legends roster change before July hovers at a razor-thin 52% Yes probability, highlighting competitive balance driven by the organization's recent turmoil offsetting the team's on-stage momentum in LPL 2026 Split 1. On April 9, NiP laid off all Swedish staff and announced relocation of core operations to Abu Dhabi, sparking speculation about potential mid-split flux in a league where stability aids playoff pushes toward Worlds qualification. However, no player departures or additions have materialized, bolstered by recent upsets sweeping Bilibili Gaming and defeating JD Gaming—top Split 1 contenders. A string of losses or internal leaks could push Yes higher, while sustained wins might solidify the current lineup of Zhuo, Hoya, Assum, Care, and Guwon.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves Ninjas in Pyjamas's active League of Legends roster (defined as the active lineup listed on the Ninjas in Pyjamas Liquipedia page: https://liquipedia.net/leagueoflegends/Ninjas_in_Pyjamas) by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

As of market creation the active roster consists of the following players: Alley, Hoya, Guwon, Care, Assum, and Zhuo. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes.

For the purpose of this market, "roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different active roster.

Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single match will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be Liquipedia; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$13
End Date
Jun 30, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 8, 2026, 10:24 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves Ninjas in Pyjamas's active League of Legends roster (defined as the active lineup listed on the Ninjas in Pyjamas Liquipedia page: https://liquipedia.net/leagueoflegends/Ninjas_in_Pyjamas) by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". As of market creation the active roster consists of the following players: Alley, Hoya, Guwon, Care, Assum, and Zhuo. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes. For the purpose of this market, "roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different active roster. Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single match will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be Liquipedia; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves Ninjas in Pyjamas's active League of Legends roster (defined as the active lineup listed on the Ninjas in Pyjamas Liquipedia page: https://liquipedia.net/leagueoflegends/Ninjas_in_Pyjamas) by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". As of market creation the active roster consists of the following players: Alley, Hoya, Guwon, Care, Assum, and Zhuo. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes. For the purpose of this market, "roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different active roster. Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single match will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be Liquipedia; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Ninjas in Pyjamas' League of Legends roster change before July hovers at a razor-thin 52% Yes probability, highlighting competitive balance driven by the organization's recent turmoil offsetting the team's on-stage momentum in LPL 2026 Split 1. On April 9, NiP laid off all Swedish staff and announced relocation of core operations to Abu Dhabi, sparking speculation about potential mid-split flux in a league where stability aids playoff pushes toward Worlds qualification. However, no player departures or additions have materialized, bolstered by recent upsets sweeping Bilibili Gaming and defeating JD Gaming—top Split 1 contenders. A string of losses or internal leaks could push Yes higher, while sustained wins might solidify the current lineup of Zhuo, Hoya, Assum, Care, and Guwon.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves Ninjas in Pyjamas's active League of Legends roster (defined as the active lineup listed on the Ninjas in Pyjamas Liquipedia page: https://liquipedia.net/leagueoflegends/Ninjas_in_Pyjamas) by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

As of market creation the active roster consists of the following players: Alley, Hoya, Guwon, Care, Assum, and Zhuo. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes.

For the purpose of this market, "roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different active roster.

Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single match will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be Liquipedia; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$13
End Date
Jun 30, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 8, 2026, 10:24 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves Ninjas in Pyjamas's active League of Legends roster (defined as the active lineup listed on the Ninjas in Pyjamas Liquipedia page: https://liquipedia.net/leagueoflegends/Ninjas_in_Pyjamas) by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". As of market creation the active roster consists of the following players: Alley, Hoya, Guwon, Care, Assum, and Zhuo. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes. For the purpose of this market, "roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different active roster. Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single match will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be Liquipedia; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Will Ninjas in Pyjamas make a roster change before July?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 51% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 51¢, the market collectively assigns a 51% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Will Ninjas in Pyjamas make a roster change before July?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 9, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Will Ninjas in Pyjamas make a roster change before July?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will Ninjas in Pyjamas make a roster change before July?" is 51% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 51% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will Ninjas in Pyjamas make a roster change before July?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.