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icon for South Carolina Governor Republican Primary: First Round Winner
Elections·Primaries

South Carolina Governor Republican Primary: First Round Winner

icon for South Carolina Governor Republican Primary: First Round Winner
Elections·Primaries

South Carolina Governor Republican Primary: First Round Winner

Pamela Evette 85%

Alan Wilson 15.0%

Ralph Norman 2.5%

Rom Reddy 2.5%

Polymarket

$1,035 Vol.

Pamela Evette 85%

Alan Wilson 15.0%

Ralph Norman 2.5%

Rom Reddy 2.5%

Polymarket

$1,035 Vol.

Pamela Evette

$248 Vol.

85%

Alan Wilson

$306 Vol.

15%

Nancy Mace

$132 Vol.

2%

Ralph Norman

$229 Vol.

2%

Rom Reddy

$119 Vol.

2%

Primary elections in South Carolina are scheduled to be held on June 9, 2026, with a runoff election scheduled to be held on June 23, 2026. This market will resolve according to the winner of the most votes in the first round of the Republican Primary for Governor of South Carolina. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Lt. Gov. Pamela Evette holds an 86% implied probability of winning the Republican primary's first round due to her establishment positioning, including endorsements from President Trump in late May and Gov. Henry McMaster earlier in the cycle. As the sitting lieutenant governor in an open race with term-limited incumbent McMaster, she benefits from statewide name recognition against a fragmented field that includes Attorney General Alan Wilson, Rep. Ralph Norman, Rom Reddy, and Rep. Nancy Mace. Recent polling averages from early June show a tight contest among the top contenders with substantial undecided voters, yet trader consensus reflects Evette's structural advantages and path to a potential outright majority ahead of the June 9 vote. A runoff would follow if no candidate exceeds 50%.

Primary elections in South Carolina are scheduled to be held on June 9, 2026, with a runoff election scheduled to be held on June 23, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the most votes in the first round of the Republican Primary for Governor of South Carolina.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$1,035
End Date
Jun 9, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 8, 2026, 1:38 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Primary elections in South Carolina are scheduled to be held on June 9, 2026, with a runoff election scheduled to be held on June 23, 2026. This market will resolve according to the winner of the most votes in the first round of the Republican Primary for Governor of South Carolina. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Primary elections in South Carolina are scheduled to be held on June 9, 2026, with a runoff election scheduled to be held on June 23, 2026. This market will resolve according to the winner of the most votes in the first round of the Republican Primary for Governor of South Carolina. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Lt. Gov. Pamela Evette holds an 86% implied probability of winning the Republican primary's first round due to her establishment positioning, including endorsements from President Trump in late May and Gov. Henry McMaster earlier in the cycle. As the sitting lieutenant governor in an open race with term-limited incumbent McMaster, she benefits from statewide name recognition against a fragmented field that includes Attorney General Alan Wilson, Rep. Ralph Norman, Rom Reddy, and Rep. Nancy Mace. Recent polling averages from early June show a tight contest among the top contenders with substantial undecided voters, yet trader consensus reflects Evette's structural advantages and path to a potential outright majority ahead of the June 9 vote. A runoff would follow if no candidate exceeds 50%.

Primary elections in South Carolina are scheduled to be held on June 9, 2026, with a runoff election scheduled to be held on June 23, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the most votes in the first round of the Republican Primary for Governor of South Carolina.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$1,035
End Date
Jun 9, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 8, 2026, 1:38 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Primary elections in South Carolina are scheduled to be held on June 9, 2026, with a runoff election scheduled to be held on June 23, 2026. This market will resolve according to the winner of the most votes in the first round of the Republican Primary for Governor of South Carolina. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"South Carolina Governor Republican Primary: First Round Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Pamela Evette" at 85%, followed by "Alan Wilson" at 15%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 85¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 85% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"South Carolina Governor Republican Primary: First Round Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jun 8, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "South Carolina Governor Republican Primary: First Round Winner," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "South Carolina Governor Republican Primary: First Round Winner" is "Pamela Evette" at 85%, meaning the market assigns a 85% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Alan Wilson" at 15%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "South Carolina Governor Republican Primary: First Round Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.