Prime Minister Narendra Modi's Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) and National Democratic Alliance (NDA) coalition showed strength in recent April 2026 assembly elections across West Bengal, Tamil Nadu, Kerala, Assam, and Puducherry, with exit polls on April 29 projecting surprise gains including potential wins in two states, bolstering trader consensus at 84.8% against his departure by year-end. The NDA's parliamentary majority was further solidified by seven AAP Rajya Sabha MPs merging with BJP earlier this month, amid no credible reports of health issues, internal dissent, or snap election triggers. Modi's active campaigning and debunked retirement rumors from opposition figures like Arvind Kejriwal reinforce stability through his third Lok Sabha term ending in 2029, though state results and coalition dynamics remain key monitors.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedModi out by December 31, 2026?
Modi out by December 31, 2026?
$28,320 Vol.
$28,320 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
$28,320 Vol.
$28,320 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Prime Minister Narendra Modi's Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) and National Democratic Alliance (NDA) coalition showed strength in recent April 2026 assembly elections across West Bengal, Tamil Nadu, Kerala, Assam, and Puducherry, with exit polls on April 29 projecting surprise gains including potential wins in two states, bolstering trader consensus at 84.8% against his departure by year-end. The NDA's parliamentary majority was further solidified by seven AAP Rajya Sabha MPs merging with BJP earlier this month, amid no credible reports of health issues, internal dissent, or snap election triggers. Modi's active campaigning and debunked retirement rumors from opposition figures like Arvind Kejriwal reinforce stability through his third Lok Sabha term ending in 2029, though state results and coalition dynamics remain key monitors.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ET
Volume
$28,320End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Prime Minister Narendra Modi's Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) and National Democratic Alliance (NDA) coalition showed strength in recent April 2026 assembly elections across West Bengal, Tamil Nadu, Kerala, Assam, and Puducherry, with exit polls on April 29 projecting surprise gains including potential wins in two states, bolstering trader consensus at 84.8% against his departure by year-end. The NDA's parliamentary majority was further solidified by seven AAP Rajya Sabha MPs merging with BJP earlier this month, amid no credible reports of health issues, internal dissent, or snap election triggers. Modi's active campaigning and debunked retirement rumors from opposition figures like Arvind Kejriwal reinforce stability through his third Lok Sabha term ending in 2029, though state results and coalition dynamics remain key monitors.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$28,320End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Prime Minister Narendra Modi's Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) and National Democratic Alliance (NDA) coalition showed strength in recent April 2026 assembly elections across West Bengal, Tamil Nadu, Kerala, Assam, and Puducherry, with exit polls on April 29 projecting surprise gains including potential wins in two states, bolstering trader consensus at 84.8% against his departure by year-end. The NDA's parliamentary majority was further solidified by seven AAP Rajya Sabha MPs merging with BJP earlier this month, amid no credible reports of health issues, internal dissent, or snap election triggers. Modi's active campaigning and debunked retirement rumors from opposition figures like Arvind Kejriwal reinforce stability through his third Lok Sabha term ending in 2029, though state results and coalition dynamics remain key monitors.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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