Traders have priced the 19°C outcome at 99% for Tokyo’s lowest temperature on June 9 because Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and current observations place the overnight minimum in a narrow band centered on that value, consistent with early-June climatology of 18–19°C daily normals. Recent model runs show stable steering patterns and limited nocturnal cooling under partly cloudy skies, keeping the recorded low from dipping to 18°C or rising to 20°C. Historical analogs for early June confirm this range as typical absent unusual synoptic shifts. The primary remaining uncertainty stems from possible revisions in final JMA station readings or localized microclimate effects near the official observation site, though such adjustments have been minimal in recent similar cases.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Tokyo on June 9?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on June 9?
19°C 99.1%
18°C <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$28,897 Vol.
$28,897 Vol.
Jun 9, 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
99%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
19°C 99.1%
18°C <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$28,897 Vol.
$28,897 Vol.
Jun 9, 2026
15°C or below
$1,110 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$844 Vol.
1%
17°C
$3,968 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$2,202 Vol.
1%
19°C
$2,476 Vol.
99%
20°C
$7,734 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$2,740 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$3,860 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$1,112 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$1,440 Vol.
<1%
25°C or higher
$1,411 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have priced the 19°C outcome at 99% for Tokyo’s lowest temperature on June 9 because Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and current observations place the overnight minimum in a narrow band centered on that value, consistent with early-June climatology of 18–19°C daily normals. Recent model runs show stable steering patterns and limited nocturnal cooling under partly cloudy skies, keeping the recorded low from dipping to 18°C or rising to 20°C. Historical analogs for early June confirm this range as typical absent unusual synoptic shifts. The primary remaining uncertainty stems from possible revisions in final JMA station readings or localized microclimate effects near the official observation site, though such adjustments have been minimal in recent similar cases.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 7, 2026, 12:35 AM ET
Volume
$28,897End Date
Jun 9, 2026Market Opened
Jun 7, 2026, 12:35 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have priced the 19°C outcome at 99% for Tokyo’s lowest temperature on June 9 because Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and current observations place the overnight minimum in a narrow band centered on that value, consistent with early-June climatology of 18–19°C daily normals. Recent model runs show stable steering patterns and limited nocturnal cooling under partly cloudy skies, keeping the recorded low from dipping to 18°C or rising to 20°C. Historical analogs for early June confirm this range as typical absent unusual synoptic shifts. The primary remaining uncertainty stems from possible revisions in final JMA station readings or localized microclimate effects near the official observation site, though such adjustments have been minimal in recent similar cases.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$28,897End Date
Jun 9, 2026Market Opened
Jun 7, 2026, 12:35 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders have priced the 19°C outcome at 99% for Tokyo’s lowest temperature on June 9 because Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and current observations place the overnight minimum in a narrow band centered on that value, consistent with early-June climatology of 18–19°C daily normals. Recent model runs show stable steering patterns and limited nocturnal cooling under partly cloudy skies, keeping the recorded low from dipping to 18°C or rising to 20°C. Historical analogs for early June confirm this range as typical absent unusual synoptic shifts. The primary remaining uncertainty stems from possible revisions in final JMA station readings or localized microclimate effects near the official observation site, though such adjustments have been minimal in recent similar cases.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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