Recent meteorological forecasts for Shanghai indicate a nighttime minimum near 19°C on June 9, consistent with the market's strong 94.5% implied probability for that outcome. Early June climatology in the region typically features overnight lows of 20–22°C under subtropical high pressure, but current model guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to cooler advection and clearer skies overnight, supporting a dip to this level. Historical data show minima below 18°C occur in fewer than 10% of early June days, reinforcing the consensus while leaving limited room for revision if local observations or model updates shift. Resolution will depend on official station readings at standard times.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Shanghai on June 9?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on June 9?
19°C 95%
18°C 5%
17°C 1.0%
16°C <1%
$23,679 Vol.
$23,679 Vol.
Jun 9, 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
5%
19°C
95%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
19°C 95%
18°C 5%
17°C 1.0%
16°C <1%
$23,679 Vol.
$23,679 Vol.
Jun 9, 2026
15°C or below
$996 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$3,729 Vol.
1%
17°C
$2,255 Vol.
1%
18°C
$2,591 Vol.
5%
19°C
$2,855 Vol.
95%
20°C
$3,746 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$1,319 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$3,310 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$754 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$617 Vol.
<1%
25°C or higher
$1,521 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts for Shanghai indicate a nighttime minimum near 19°C on June 9, consistent with the market's strong 94.5% implied probability for that outcome. Early June climatology in the region typically features overnight lows of 20–22°C under subtropical high pressure, but current model guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to cooler advection and clearer skies overnight, supporting a dip to this level. Historical data show minima below 18°C occur in fewer than 10% of early June days, reinforcing the consensus while leaving limited room for revision if local observations or model updates shift. Resolution will depend on official station readings at standard times.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 7, 2026, 12:35 AM ET
Volume
$23,679End Date
Jun 9, 2026Market Opened
Jun 7, 2026, 12:35 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts for Shanghai indicate a nighttime minimum near 19°C on June 9, consistent with the market's strong 94.5% implied probability for that outcome. Early June climatology in the region typically features overnight lows of 20–22°C under subtropical high pressure, but current model guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to cooler advection and clearer skies overnight, supporting a dip to this level. Historical data show minima below 18°C occur in fewer than 10% of early June days, reinforcing the consensus while leaving limited room for revision if local observations or model updates shift. Resolution will depend on official station readings at standard times.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$23,679End Date
Jun 9, 2026Market Opened
Jun 7, 2026, 12:35 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological forecasts for Shanghai indicate a nighttime minimum near 19°C on June 9, consistent with the market's strong 94.5% implied probability for that outcome. Early June climatology in the region typically features overnight lows of 20–22°C under subtropical high pressure, but current model guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to cooler advection and clearer skies overnight, supporting a dip to this level. Historical data show minima below 18°C occur in fewer than 10% of early June days, reinforcing the consensus while leaving limited room for revision if local observations or model updates shift. Resolution will depend on official station readings at standard times.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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